CAIE S2 2008 June — Question 2 5 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2008
SessionJune
Marks5
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicLinear combinations of normal random variables
TypeDistribution of sample mean
DifficultyModerate -0.8 This is a straightforward application of the sampling distribution of the mean with direct parameter substitution. Part (i) requires recalling that X̄ ~ N(μ, σ²/n), and part (ii) is a routine normal probability calculation with standardization. No problem-solving or conceptual insight needed beyond textbook formulas.
Spec5.05a Sample mean distribution: central limit theorem

2 The lengths of time people take to complete a certain type of puzzle are normally distributed with mean 48.8 minutes and standard deviation 15.6 minutes. The random variable \(X\) represents the time taken in minutes by a randomly chosen person to solve this type of puzzle. The times taken by random samples of 5 people are noted. The mean time \(\bar { X }\) is calculated for each sample.
  1. State the distribution of \(\bar { X }\), giving the values of any parameters.
  2. Find \(\mathrm { P } ( \bar { X } < 50 )\).

AnswerMarks Guidance
(i)\(\bar{X} \sim N(48.8, 15.6^2/5)\) B1 B1 [2]
(ii)\(P(\bar{X} < 50) = \Phi\left(\frac{50-48.8}{\sqrt{15.6/\sqrt{5}}}\right)\) o.e. M1
\(= \Phi(0.1720) = 0.568\)M1 A1 [3] Correct area > 0.5. Correct answer
(i) | $\bar{X} \sim N(48.8, 15.6^2/5)$ | B1 B1 [2] | For normal. Correct mean and variance/s.d.

(ii) | $P(\bar{X} < 50) = \Phi\left(\frac{50-48.8}{\sqrt{15.6/\sqrt{5}}}\right)$ o.e. | M1 | Standardising with sq root

$= \Phi(0.1720) = 0.568$ | M1 A1 [3] | Correct area > 0.5. Correct answer

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2 The lengths of time people take to complete a certain type of puzzle are normally distributed with mean 48.8 minutes and standard deviation 15.6 minutes. The random variable $X$ represents the time taken in minutes by a randomly chosen person to solve this type of puzzle. The times taken by random samples of 5 people are noted. The mean time $\bar { X }$ is calculated for each sample.\\
(i) State the distribution of $\bar { X }$, giving the values of any parameters.\\
(ii) Find $\mathrm { P } ( \bar { X } < 50 )$.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S2 2008 Q2 [5]}}