CAIE S2 2022 March — Question 1 4 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2022
SessionMarch
Marks4
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicMeasures of Location and Spread
TypeStandard unbiased estimates calculation
DifficultyEasy -1.2 This is a straightforward calculation requiring direct application of standard formulas for sample mean and variance (using n-1 denominator). Part (b) requires basic understanding that small sample size affects reliability. No problem-solving or conceptual depth required—purely procedural with clearly given data.
Spec2.01b Informal inferences: from samples5.05b Unbiased estimates: of population mean and variance

1 The lengths, in millimetres, of a random sample of 12 rods made by a certain machine are as follows.
200
201
198
202
200
199
199
201
197
202
200
199
  1. Find unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance.
  2. Give a statistical reason why these estimates may not be reliable.

Question 1:
Part (a):
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(\text{Est}(\mu) = \frac{1199}{6}\) or \(199.833\) or \(200\) or \(\frac{2398}{12}\) [mm]B1 Accept in any form
\(\text{Est}(\sigma^2) = \frac{12}{11}\left(\frac{479226}{12} - \frac{'1199'^2}{6}\right)\) or \(\frac{1}{11}\left('479226' - \frac{'2398'^2}{6}\right)\)M1 Use of their values in correct formula (may be implied)
\(= 2.33\) (3 sf) [mm\(^2\)]A1 Accept \(\frac{7}{3}\)
3
Part (b):
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMarks Guidance
Small sampleB1 Accept not 'not representative' unless qualified
1
## Question 1:

**Part (a):**

| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|--------|-------|----------|
| $\text{Est}(\mu) = \frac{1199}{6}$ or $199.833$ or $200$ or $\frac{2398}{12}$ [mm] | B1 | Accept in any form |
| $\text{Est}(\sigma^2) = \frac{12}{11}\left(\frac{479226}{12} - \frac{'1199'^2}{6}\right)$ or $\frac{1}{11}\left('479226' - \frac{'2398'^2}{6}\right)$ | M1 | Use of their values in correct formula (may be implied) |
| $= 2.33$ (3 sf) [mm$^2$] | A1 | Accept $\frac{7}{3}$ |
| | **3** | |

**Part (b):**

| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|--------|-------|----------|
| Small sample | B1 | Accept not 'not representative' unless qualified |
| | **1** | |

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1 The lengths, in millimetres, of a random sample of 12 rods made by a certain machine are as follows.\\
200\\
201\\
198\\
202\\
200\\
199\\
199\\
201\\
197\\
202\\
200\\
199
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Find unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance.
\item Give a statistical reason why these estimates may not be reliable.
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S2 2022 Q1 [4]}}