CAIE S2 2020 June — Question 6 11 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2020
SessionJune
Marks11
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicContinuous Probability Distributions and Random Variables
TypeSymmetry property of PDF
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This question tests understanding of PDF symmetry and basic probability calculations. Part (b) requires recognizing symmetry to deduce E(T)=10 without calculation—a conceptual insight but straightforward once the parabola is sketched. Parts (c) and (e) involve standard integration techniques. Part (d) tests understanding of symmetry properties. The multi-part structure and symmetry recognition elevate it slightly above routine drill exercises, but all techniques are standard S2 material with no novel problem-solving required.
Spec5.03a Continuous random variables: pdf and cdf5.03b Solve problems: using pdf5.03c Calculate mean/variance: by integration5.03e Find cdf: by integration

6 The length of time, \(T\) minutes, that a passenger has to wait for a bus at a certain bus stop is modelled by the probability density function given by $$\mathrm { f } ( t ) = \begin{cases} \frac { 3 } { 4000 } \left( 20 t - t ^ { 2 } \right) & 0 \leqslant t \leqslant 20 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$$
  1. Sketch the graph of \(y = \mathrm { f } ( t )\).
  2. Hence explain, without calculation, why \(\mathrm { E } ( T ) = 10\).
  3. Find \(\operatorname { Var } ( T )\).
  4. It is given that \(\mathrm { P } ( T < 10 + a ) = p\), where \(0 < a < 10\). Find \(\mathrm { P } ( 10 - a < T < 10 + a )\) in terms of \(p\).
  5. Find \(\mathrm { P } ( 8 < T < 12 )\).
  6. Give one reason why this model may be unrealistic.
    If you use the following lined page to complete the answer(s) to any question(s), the question number(s) must be clearly shown.

Question 6:
Part 6(a):
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
'Tails down' parabola only from \(x = 0\) to \(20\) shownB1
Part 6(b):
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
SymmetricalB1
Part 6(c):
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\(\dfrac{3}{4000}\displaystyle\int_0^{20}(20t^3 - t^4)\,dx = \dfrac{3}{4000}\left[20\dfrac{t^4}{4} - \dfrac{t^5}{5}\right]_0^{20}\)M1
\(\text{Var}(T) = \dfrac{3}{4000} \times 160000 - 10^2\)M1
\(20\)A1
Part 6(d):
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\((p - 0.5) \times 2\) or \(1 - 2(1-p)\)M1
\(2p - 1\)A1
Question 6(e):
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\(\dfrac{3}{4000}\displaystyle\int_{8}^{12}(20t - t^2)\,dx\)M1
\(\dfrac{3}{4000}\left[20\dfrac{t^2}{2} - \dfrac{t^3}{3}\right]_{8}^{12} = \dfrac{3}{4000}\left(1440 - 576 - 640 + \dfrac{512}{3}\right)\)A1
\(\dfrac{37}{125}\) or \(0.296\)A1
Total: 3 marks
Question 6(f):
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
Does not allow times greater than 20 minutesB1
Total: 1 mark
## Question 6:

**Part 6(a):**

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| 'Tails down' parabola only from $x = 0$ to $20$ shown | B1 | |

**Part 6(b):**

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| Symmetrical | B1 | |

**Part 6(c):**

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $\dfrac{3}{4000}\displaystyle\int_0^{20}(20t^3 - t^4)\,dx = \dfrac{3}{4000}\left[20\dfrac{t^4}{4} - \dfrac{t^5}{5}\right]_0^{20}$ | M1 | |
| $\text{Var}(T) = \dfrac{3}{4000} \times 160000 - 10^2$ | M1 | |
| $20$ | A1 | |

**Part 6(d):**

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $(p - 0.5) \times 2$ or $1 - 2(1-p)$ | M1 | |
| $2p - 1$ | A1 | |

## Question 6(e):

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $\dfrac{3}{4000}\displaystyle\int_{8}^{12}(20t - t^2)\,dx$ | M1 | |
| $\dfrac{3}{4000}\left[20\dfrac{t^2}{2} - \dfrac{t^3}{3}\right]_{8}^{12} = \dfrac{3}{4000}\left(1440 - 576 - 640 + \dfrac{512}{3}\right)$ | A1 | |
| $\dfrac{37}{125}$ or $0.296$ | A1 | |

**Total: 3 marks**

---

## Question 6(f):

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| Does not allow times greater than 20 minutes | B1 | |

**Total: 1 mark**
6 The length of time, $T$ minutes, that a passenger has to wait for a bus at a certain bus stop is modelled by the probability density function given by

$$\mathrm { f } ( t ) = \begin{cases} \frac { 3 } { 4000 } \left( 20 t - t ^ { 2 } \right) & 0 \leqslant t \leqslant 20 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$$
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Sketch the graph of $y = \mathrm { f } ( t )$.
\item Hence explain, without calculation, why $\mathrm { E } ( T ) = 10$.
\item Find $\operatorname { Var } ( T )$.
\item It is given that $\mathrm { P } ( T < 10 + a ) = p$, where $0 < a < 10$.

Find $\mathrm { P } ( 10 - a < T < 10 + a )$ in terms of $p$.
\item Find $\mathrm { P } ( 8 < T < 12 )$.
\item Give one reason why this model may be unrealistic.\\

If you use the following lined page to complete the answer(s) to any question(s), the question number(s) must be clearly shown.
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S2 2020 Q6 [11]}}