CAIE S2 2020 June — Question 1 6 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2020
SessionJune
Marks6
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicMeasures of Location and Spread
TypeStandard unbiased estimates calculation
DifficultyEasy -1.2 This is a straightforward application of standard formulas for unbiased estimates (sample mean and variance with n-1 denominator) followed by a routine confidence interval calculation using the normal distribution. Both parts require only direct substitution into well-practiced formulas with no problem-solving or conceptual challenges.
Spec5.05b Unbiased estimates: of population mean and variance5.05d Confidence intervals: using normal distribution

1 The lengths, \(X\) centimetres, of a random sample of 7 leaves from a certain variety of tree are as follows.
3.9
4.8
4.8
4.4
5.2
5.5
6.1
  1. Calculate unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance of \(X\).
    It is now given that the true value of the population variance of \(X\) is 0.55 , and that \(X\) has a normal distribution.
  2. Find a 95\% confidence interval for the population mean of \(X\).

Question 1:
Part (a):
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\(\frac{\Sigma x}{7} = \frac{34.7}{7} = 4.9571\) or \(4.96\) (3 sf); \((\Sigma x^2 = 175.15)\)B1
\(\frac{7}{6}\left(\frac{\text{"175.15"}}{7} - \text{"4.9571"}^2\right)\)M1
\(0.523\) (3 sf)A1
3
Part (b):
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\(\text{'4.96'} \pm z \times \sqrt{\frac{0.523}{7}}\)M1 FT *their* mean and standard deviation
\(z = 1.96\)B1
\(4.42\) to \(5.49\) (3 sf)A1
3
## Question 1:

**Part (a):**

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $\frac{\Sigma x}{7} = \frac{34.7}{7} = 4.9571$ or $4.96$ (3 sf); $(\Sigma x^2 = 175.15)$ | B1 | |
| $\frac{7}{6}\left(\frac{\text{"175.15"}}{7} - \text{"4.9571"}^2\right)$ | M1 | |
| $0.523$ (3 sf) | A1 | |
| | **3** | |

**Part (b):**

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $\text{'4.96'} \pm z \times \sqrt{\frac{0.523}{7}}$ | M1 | **FT** *their* mean and standard deviation |
| $z = 1.96$ | B1 | |
| $4.42$ to $5.49$ (3 sf) | A1 | |
| | **3** | |
1 The lengths, $X$ centimetres, of a random sample of 7 leaves from a certain variety of tree are as follows.\\
3.9\\
4.8\\
4.8\\
4.4\\
5.2\\
5.5\\
6.1
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Calculate unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance of $X$.\\

It is now given that the true value of the population variance of $X$ is 0.55 , and that $X$ has a normal distribution.
\item Find a 95\% confidence interval for the population mean of $X$.
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S2 2020 Q1 [6]}}