CAIE S1 2021 November — Question 3

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2021
SessionNovember
TopicConditional Probability
TypeBayes with complementary outcome

3 For her bedtime drink, Suki has either chocolate, tea or milk with probabilities \(0.45,0.35\) and 0.2 respectively. When she has chocolate, the probability that she has a biscuit is 0.3 When she has tea, the probability that she has a biscuit is 0.6 . When she has milk, she never has a biscuit. Find the probability that Suki has tea given that she does not have a biscuit.