Edexcel S4 — Question 3 12 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS4 (Statistics 4)
Marks12
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Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicType I/II errors and power of test
TypeSimultaneous critical region and Type II error
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This S4 question tests standard definitions (size, power) and routine calculations with binomial distributions. Parts (a)-(b) are pure recall, part (c) is a standard critical region calculation, part (d) involves straightforward binomial probability calculations for Type II error and power, and part (e) requires knowledge of factors affecting power. While it requires understanding of hypothesis testing concepts and careful binomial calculations, all components are textbook exercises with no novel problem-solving required. Slightly easier than average due to the structured, formulaic nature.
Spec2.05a Hypothesis testing language: null, alternative, p-value, significance2.05b Hypothesis test for binomial proportion2.05c Significance levels: one-tail and two-tail

Define, in terms of H\(_0\) and/or H\(_1\),
  1. the size of a hypothesis test, [1]
  2. the power of a hypothesis test. [1]
The probability of getting a head when a coin is tossed is denoted by \(p\). This coin is tossed 12 times in order to test the hypotheses H\(_0\): \(p = 0.5\) against H\(_1\): \(p \neq 0.5\), using a 5\% level of significance.
  1. Find the largest critical region for this test, such that the probability in each tail is less than 2.5\%. [4]
  2. Given that \(p = 0.4\)
    1. find the probability of a type II error when using this test,
    2. find the power of this test.
    [4]
  3. Suggest two ways in which the power of the test can be increased. [2]

Question 3:
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Question 3:
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Define, in terms of H$_0$ and/or H$_1$,

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item the size of a hypothesis test,
[1]

\item the power of a hypothesis test.
[1]
\end{enumerate}

The probability of getting a head when a coin is tossed is denoted by $p$.

This coin is tossed 12 times in order to test the hypotheses H$_0$: $p = 0.5$ against H$_1$: $p \neq 0.5$, using a 5\% level of significance.

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\setcounter{enumii}{2}
\item Find the largest critical region for this test, such that the probability in each tail is less than 2.5\%.
[4]

\item Given that $p = 0.4$
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item find the probability of a type II error when using this test,
\item find the power of this test.
\end{enumerate}
[4]

\item Suggest two ways in which the power of the test can be increased.
[2]
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S4  Q3 [12]}}