Edexcel S4 — Question 6 17 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS4 (Statistics 4)
Marks17
PaperDownload PDF ↗
TopicDiscrete Random Variables
TypeOptimal estimator construction
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a structured S4 question on estimation theory with clear signposting through multiple parts. While it involves integration, expectation, and variance calculations, each step is guided and uses standard techniques (uniform distribution properties, variance formulas). The mathematical manipulations are routine for Further Maths students, requiring no novel insights—just careful application of given formulas and definitions of unbiased estimators.
Spec5.03c Calculate mean/variance: by integration5.05b Unbiased estimates: of population mean and variance

\includegraphics{figure_6} Figure 1 shows a square of side 1 and area \(l^2\) which lies in the first quadrant with one vertex at the origin. A point \(P\) with coordinates \((X, Y)\) is selected at random inside the square and the coordinates are used to estimate \(l^2\). It is assumed that \(X\) and \(Y\) are independent random variables each having a continuous uniform distribution over the interval \([0, l]\). [You may assume that E\((X^n Y^m) = \) E\((X^n)\)E\((Y^m)\), where \(n\) is a positive integer.]
  1. Use integration to show that E\((X^n) = \frac{l^{n+1}}{n+1}\). [3]
The random variable \(S = kXY\), where \(k\) is a constant, is an unbiased estimator for \(l^2\).
  1. [(b)] Find the value of \(k\). [3]
  2. Show that Var \(S = \frac{7l^4}{9}\). [3]
The random variable \(U = q(X^2 + Y^2)\), where \(q\) is a constant, is also an unbiased estimator for \(l^2\).
  1. [(d)] Show that the value of \(q = \frac{3}{2}\). [3]
  2. Find Var \(U\). [3]
  3. State, giving a reason, which of \(S\) and \(U\) is the better estimator of \(l^2\). [1]
The point (2, 3) is selected from inside the square.
  1. [(g)] Use the estimator chosen in part (f) to find an estimate for the area of the square. [1]
TOTAL FOR PAPER: 75 MARKS

\includegraphics{figure_6}

Figure 1 shows a square of side 1 and area $l^2$ which lies in the first quadrant with one vertex at the origin. A point $P$ with coordinates $(X, Y)$ is selected at random inside the square and the coordinates are used to estimate $l^2$. It is assumed that $X$ and $Y$ are independent random variables each having a continuous uniform distribution over the interval $[0, l]$.

[You may assume that E$(X^n Y^m) = $ E$(X^n)$E$(Y^m)$, where $n$ is a positive integer.]

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Use integration to show that E$(X^n) = \frac{l^{n+1}}{n+1}$. [3]
\end{enumerate}

The random variable $S = kXY$, where $k$ is a constant, is an unbiased estimator for $l^2$.

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item[(b)] Find the value of $k$. [3]

\item Show that Var $S = \frac{7l^4}{9}$. [3]
\end{enumerate}

The random variable $U = q(X^2 + Y^2)$, where $q$ is a constant, is also an unbiased estimator for $l^2$.

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item[(d)] Show that the value of $q = \frac{3}{2}$. [3]

\item Find Var $U$. [3]

\item State, giving a reason, which of $S$ and $U$ is the better estimator of $l^2$. [1]
\end{enumerate}

The point (2, 3) is selected from inside the square.

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item[(g)] Use the estimator chosen in part (f) to find an estimate for the area of the square. [1]
\end{enumerate}

TOTAL FOR PAPER: 75 MARKS

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S4  Q6 [17]}}