Edexcel S4 — Question 5 17 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS4 (Statistics 4)
Marks17
PaperDownload PDF ↗
TopicHypothesis test of a Poisson distribution
TypeFind power function or power value
DifficultyChallenging +1.2 This is a multi-part S4 hypothesis testing question involving Poisson distributions, power functions, and test design. While it requires understanding of type I/II errors, power functions, and critical regions, the calculations are mostly straightforward applications of Poisson probabilities and table lookups. The conceptual demand (interpreting power function graphs, comparing tests) is moderate for Further Maths S4 level. The question is structured to guide students through each step, making it more accessible than it initially appears.
Spec2.05a Hypothesis testing language: null, alternative, p-value, significance2.05b Hypothesis test for binomial proportion2.05c Significance levels: one-tail and two-tail

Rolls of cloth delivered to a factory contain defects at an average rate of 2 per metre. A quality assurance manager selects a random sample of 15 metres of cloth from each delivery to test whether or not there is evidence that \(\lambda > 0.3\). The criterion that the manager uses for rejecting the hypothesis that \(\lambda = 0.3\) is that there are 9 or more defects in the sample.
  1. Find the size of the test. [2]
Table 1 gives some values, to 2 decimal places, of the power function of this test. \includegraphics{figure_5}
  1. [(b)] Find the value of \(r\). [2]
The manager would like to design a test, of whether or not \(\lambda > 0.3\), that uses a smaller length of cloth. He chooses a length of 10 m and requires the probability of a type I error to be less than 10\%.
  1. [(c)] Find the criterion to reject the hypothesis that \(\lambda = 0.3\) which makes the test as powerful as possible. [2]
  2. Hence state the size of this second test. [1]
Table 2 gives some values, to 2 decimal places, of the power function for the test in part (c). \includegraphics{figure_5_table2}
  1. [(e)] Find the value of \(s\). [2]
  2. Using the same axes, on graph paper draw the graphs of the power functions of these two tests. [4]
  3. [(g)] State the value of \(\lambda\) where the graphs cross.
    1. Explain the significance of \(\lambda\) where the graphs cross. [2]
There are serious consequences for the production at the factory if the difference in mean lengths of the components produced by the two machines is more than 0.7 cm. Deliveries of cloth with \(\lambda = 0.3\) are unusable.
  1. [(h)] Suggest, giving your reasons, which test manager should adopt. [2]

Rolls of cloth delivered to a factory contain defects at an average rate of 2 per metre. A quality assurance manager selects a random sample of 15 metres of cloth from each delivery to test whether or not there is evidence that $\lambda > 0.3$. The criterion that the manager uses for rejecting the hypothesis that $\lambda = 0.3$ is that there are 9 or more defects in the sample.

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Find the size of the test. [2]
\end{enumerate}

Table 1 gives some values, to 2 decimal places, of the power function of this test.

\includegraphics{figure_5}

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item[(b)] Find the value of $r$. [2]
\end{enumerate}

The manager would like to design a test, of whether or not $\lambda > 0.3$, that uses a smaller length of cloth. He chooses a length of 10 m and requires the probability of a type I error to be less than 10\%.

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item[(c)] Find the criterion to reject the hypothesis that $\lambda = 0.3$ which makes the test as powerful as possible. [2]

\item Hence state the size of this second test. [1]
\end{enumerate}

Table 2 gives some values, to 2 decimal places, of the power function for the test in part (c).

\includegraphics{figure_5_table2}

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item[(e)] Find the value of $s$. [2]

\item Using the same axes, on graph paper draw the graphs of the power functions of these two tests. [4]

\item[(g)] State the value of $\lambda$ where the graphs cross.
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item Explain the significance of $\lambda$ where the graphs cross. [2]
\end{enumerate}
\end{enumerate}

There are serious consequences for the production at the factory if the difference in mean lengths of the components produced by the two machines is more than 0.7 cm. Deliveries of cloth with $\lambda = 0.3$ are unusable.

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item[(h)] Suggest, giving your reasons, which test manager should adopt. [2]
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S4  Q5 [17]}}