OCR MEI S2 2007 January — Question 1 18 marks

Exam BoardOCR MEI
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2007
SessionJanuary
Marks18
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicLinear regression
TypeCalculate regression line then predict
DifficultyModerate -0.8 This is a straightforward S2 regression question requiring standard calculations (regression line equation, predictions, residuals) with minimal conceptual challenge. All parts follow textbook procedures: computing b and a from given summaries, making predictions, interpreting coefficients, and calculating residuals. The only slightly non-routine element is discussing reliability of interpolation vs extrapolation, but this is standard A-level content. Easier than average due to being purely procedural with all necessary data provided.
Spec2.02c Scatter diagrams and regression lines5.09a Dependent/independent variables5.09b Least squares regression: concepts5.09c Calculate regression line5.09e Use regression: for estimation in context

In a science investigation into energy conservation in the home, a student is collecting data on the time taken for an electric kettle to boil as the volume of water in the kettle is varied. The student's data are shown in the table below, where \(v\) litres is the volume of water in the kettle and \(t\) seconds is the time taken for the kettle to boil (starting with the water at room temperature in each case). Also shown are summary statistics and a scatter diagram on which the regression line of \(t\) on \(v\) is drawn.
\(v\)0.20.40.60.81.0
\(t\)4478114156172
\(n = 5\), \(\Sigma v = 3.0\), \(\Sigma t = 564\), \(\Sigma v^2 = 2.20\), \(\Sigma vt = 405.2\). \includegraphics{figure_1}
  1. Calculate the equation of the regression line of \(t\) on \(v\), giving your answer in the form \(t = a + bv\). [5]
  2. Use this equation to predict the time taken for the kettle to boil when the amount of water which it contains is
    1. 0.5 litres,
    2. 1.5 litres.
    Comment on the reliability of each of these predictions. [4]
  3. In the equation of the regression line found in part (i), explain the role of the coefficient of \(v\) in the relationship between time taken and volume of water. [2]
  4. Calculate the values of the residuals for \(v = 0.8\) and \(v = 1.0\). [4]
  5. Explain how, on a scatter diagram with the regression line drawn accurately on it, a residual could be measured and its sign determined. [3]

In a science investigation into energy conservation in the home, a student is collecting data on the time taken for an electric kettle to boil as the volume of water in the kettle is varied. The student's data are shown in the table below, where $v$ litres is the volume of water in the kettle and $t$ seconds is the time taken for the kettle to boil (starting with the water at room temperature in each case). Also shown are summary statistics and a scatter diagram on which the regression line of $t$ on $v$ is drawn.

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|}
\hline
$v$ & 0.2 & 0.4 & 0.6 & 0.8 & 1.0 \\
\hline
$t$ & 44 & 78 & 114 & 156 & 172 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

$n = 5$, $\Sigma v = 3.0$, $\Sigma t = 564$, $\Sigma v^2 = 2.20$, $\Sigma vt = 405.2$.

\includegraphics{figure_1}

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item Calculate the equation of the regression line of $t$ on $v$, giving your answer in the form $t = a + bv$. [5]

\item Use this equation to predict the time taken for the kettle to boil when the amount of water which it contains is
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\Alph*)]
\item 0.5 litres,
\item 1.5 litres.
\end{enumerate}
Comment on the reliability of each of these predictions. [4]

\item In the equation of the regression line found in part (i), explain the role of the coefficient of $v$ in the relationship between time taken and volume of water. [2]

\item Calculate the values of the residuals for $v = 0.8$ and $v = 1.0$. [4]

\item Explain how, on a scatter diagram with the regression line drawn accurately on it, a residual could be measured and its sign determined. [3]
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR MEI S2 2007 Q1 [18]}}