AQA S2 2016 June — Question 2 4 marks

Exam BoardAQA
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2016
SessionJune
Marks4
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicConfidence intervals
TypeRecover sample stats from CI
DifficultyModerate -0.3 This is a straightforward application of confidence interval formulas requiring students to work backwards from the interval to find the sample mean (midpoint) and use the t-distribution critical value with the interval width to find the sample variance. While it requires understanding of the relationship between confidence intervals and their parameters, it's a standard textbook exercise with clear mechanical steps and no conceptual surprises.
Spec5.05d Confidence intervals: using normal distribution

A normally distributed variable, \(X\), has unknown mean \(\mu\) and unknown standard deviation \(\sigma\). A sample of 10 values of \(X\) was taken. From these 10 values, a 95% confidence interval for \(\mu\) was calculated to be $$(30.47, 32.93)$$ Use this confidence interval to find unbiased estimates for \(\mu\) and \(\sigma^2\). [4 marks]

AnswerMarks Guidance
PartAnswer/Working Marks
\(\bar{x}\) or \(\mu = (32.93 + 30.47) \div 2 = 31.7\)B1 CAO \(\bar{x}\) or \(\mu\) not necessary but do not ISW. If contradictory value for \(\mu\) seen then B0.
\(t_5 = 2.262\)M1 AWRT 2.26
\((32.93 - 30.47) = (2 \times 2.262 \times s) \div \sqrt{10}\)m1 OE single correct equation with only \(s\) or \(\sigma\) unknown
\(s = 1.72\) so unbiased estimate for \(\sigma^2\) is 2.96A1 AWFW 2.95 to 2.96; Final answer 1.72 earns M1 m1 A0
Total: 4
TOTAL FOR Q2: 4
| Part | Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|------|---|---|---|
| | $\bar{x}$ or $\mu = (32.93 + 30.47) \div 2 = 31.7$ | B1 | CAO $\bar{x}$ or $\mu$ not necessary but do not ISW. If contradictory value for $\mu$ seen then B0. |
| | $t_5 = 2.262$ | M1 | AWRT 2.26 |
| | $(32.93 - 30.47) = (2 \times 2.262 \times s) \div \sqrt{10}$ | m1 | OE single correct equation with only $s$ or $\sigma$ unknown |
| | $s = 1.72$ so unbiased estimate for $\sigma^2$ is 2.96 | A1 | AWFW 2.95 to 2.96; Final answer 1.72 earns M1 m1 A0 |
| | **Total: 4** | | |
| | **TOTAL FOR Q2: 4** | | |

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A normally distributed variable, $X$, has unknown mean $\mu$ and unknown standard deviation $\sigma$.

A sample of 10 values of $X$ was taken. From these 10 values, a 95% confidence interval for $\mu$ was calculated to be

$$(30.47, 32.93)$$

Use this confidence interval to find unbiased estimates for $\mu$ and $\sigma^2$.
[4 marks]

\hfill \mbox{\textit{AQA S2 2016 Q2 [4]}}