OCR MEI S1 2010 January — Question 4 5 marks

Exam BoardOCR MEI
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2010
SessionJanuary
Marks5
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicBinomial Distribution
TypeSingle batch expected count
DifficultyModerate -0.8 This is a straightforward application of the binomial distribution requiring only direct formula substitution. Part (i) asks for P(X=20) where X~B(30,0.6), and part (ii) simply multiplies this probability by 100. No problem-solving or conceptual insight is needed beyond recognizing the binomial model, making it easier than average.
Spec2.04b Binomial distribution: as model B(n,p)2.04c Calculate binomial probabilities

In a multiple-choice test there are 30 questions. For each question, there is a 60% chance that a randomly selected student answers correctly, independently of all other questions.
  1. Find the probability that a randomly selected student gets a total of exactly 20 questions correct. [3]
  2. If 100 randomly selected students take the test, find the expected number of students who get exactly 20 questions correct. [2]

(i)
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(P(20 \text{ correct}) = \binom{30}{20} \times 0.6^{20} \times 0.4^{10} = 0.1152\)M1 for \(0.6^{20} \times 0.4^{10}\), M1 for \(\binom{30}{20} \times p^{20}q^{10}\), A1 CAO [3]
(ii)
AnswerMarks Guidance
Expected number \(= 100 \times 0.1152 = 11.52\)M1, A1 FT (Must not round to whole number) [2]
TOTAL [5]
## (i)
$P(20 \text{ correct}) = \binom{30}{20} \times 0.6^{20} \times 0.4^{10} = 0.1152$ | M1 for $0.6^{20} \times 0.4^{10}$, M1 for $\binom{30}{20} \times p^{20}q^{10}$, A1 CAO | [3]

## (ii)
Expected number $= 100 \times 0.1152 = 11.52$ | M1, A1 FT (Must not round to whole number) | [2]

**TOTAL** | | [5]

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In a multiple-choice test there are 30 questions. For each question, there is a 60% chance that a randomly selected student answers correctly, independently of all other questions.

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item Find the probability that a randomly selected student gets a total of exactly 20 questions correct. [3]

\item If 100 randomly selected students take the test, find the expected number of students who get exactly 20 questions correct. [2]
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR MEI S1 2010 Q4 [5]}}