CAIE S2 2023 November — Question 2 4 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2023
SessionNovember
Marks4
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicConfidence intervals
TypeFind alpha from CI width
DifficultyStandard +0.8 This question requires working backwards from a confidence interval bound to find the confidence level, involving manipulation of the standard CI formula for proportions and use of inverse normal tables. It's more challenging than routine CI construction as it requires algebraic rearrangement and understanding the relationship between z-values and confidence levels, but remains a standard S2-level problem with clear methodology once the approach is identified.
Spec5.05d Confidence intervals: using normal distribution

In a survey of 300 randomly chosen adults in Rickton, 134 said that they exercised regularly. This information was used to calculate an \(\alpha\)% confidence interval for the proportion of adults in Rickton who exercise regularly. The upper bound of the confidence interval was found to be 0.487, correct to 3 significant figures. Find the value of \(\alpha\) correct to the nearest integer. [4]

Question 2:
AnswerMarks
2134 166
134 300 300
+z = 0.487
AnswerMarks Guidance
300 300M1 For expression of the correct form.
z = 1.405A1 Accept 1.404, or anything that rounds to 1.39 to 1.41.
ɸ–1('1.405') = 0.9199 or 0.92; 1 − 2(1 – 0.92)M1 Attempt area above or below their 1.405 and convert to
a confidence level.
AnswerMarks Guidance
α = 84A1 Allow α = 84%.
cwo
Note: final answer 0.84 scores A0.
4
AnswerMarks Guidance
QuestionAnswer Marks
Question 2:
2 | 134 166

134 300 300
+z = 0.487
300 300 | M1 | For expression of the correct form.
z = 1.405 | A1 | Accept 1.404, or anything that rounds to 1.39 to 1.41.
ɸ–1('1.405') = 0.9199 or 0.92; 1 − 2(1 – 0.92) | M1 | Attempt area above or below their 1.405 and convert to
a confidence level.
α = 84 | A1 | Allow α = 84%.
cwo
Note: final answer 0.84 scores A0.
4
Question | Answer | Marks | Guidance
In a survey of 300 randomly chosen adults in Rickton, 134 said that they exercised regularly. This information was used to calculate an $\alpha$% confidence interval for the proportion of adults in Rickton who exercise regularly. The upper bound of the confidence interval was found to be 0.487, correct to 3 significant figures.

Find the value of $\alpha$ correct to the nearest integer. [4]

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S2 2023 Q2 [4]}}