CAIE FP2 2009 November — Question 9 10 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleFP2 (Further Pure Mathematics 2)
Year2009
SessionNovember
Marks10
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicChi-squared goodness of fit
TypeChi-squared goodness of fit: Binomial
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a straightforward chi-squared goodness of fit test with clear structure: (i) routine binomial probability calculation using given parameters, (ii) standard chi-squared test procedure with provided expected values. While it's a Further Maths topic, the execution is mechanical with no conceptual challenges or novel problem-solving required—slightly easier than average A-level difficulty.
Spec5.02c Linear coding: effects on mean and variance5.06b Fit prescribed distribution: chi-squared test

It has been found that 60\% of the computer chips produced in a factory are faulty. As part of quality control, 100 samples of 4 chips are selected at random, and each chip is tested. The number of faulty chips in each sample is recorded, with the results given in the following table.
Number of faulty chips01234
Number of samples212274910
The expected values for a binomial distribution with parameters \(n = 4\) and \(p = 0.6\) are given in the following table.
Number of faulty chips01234
Expected value2.5615.3634.5634.5612.96
Show how the expected value 34.56 corresponding to 2 faulty chips is obtained. [2] Carry out a goodness of fit test at the 5\% significance level, and state what can be deduced from the outcome of the test. [8]

Question 9:
AnswerMarks
9Show how value is found (allow M1 if 100 omitted): 100 4 C2 0⋅4 2 × 0⋅6 2 = 34⋅56 A.G. M1 A1
State (at least) null hypothesis: H0: B(4, 0⋅6) fits data (A.E.F.) B1
Combine adjacent cells since exp. value < 5: O: 14 27 49 10
E: 17⋅92 34⋅56 34⋅56 12⋅96 *M1
Calculate value of χ2 (to 2 dp ; A1 dep *M1): χ2 = 9⋅22 M1 A1
Compare with consistent tabular value (to 2 dp): χ 3, 0.95 2 = 7⋅815 (cells combined)
χ 4, 0.95 2 = 9⋅488 (not combined) B1
χ2
Valid method for reaching conclusion: Reject H0 if > tabular value M1
Correct conclusion (A.E.F., requires correct values): 9⋅22 > 7⋅81[5] so distn. does not fit *A1
AnswerMarks
State valid deduction (dep *A1; allow p ≠ 0⋅6): Prob. of faulty chips ≠ 0⋅6 (A.E.F.) B1(2)
(8)[10]
Question 9:
9 | Show how value is found (allow M1 if 100 omitted): 100 4 C2 0⋅4 2 × 0⋅6 2 = 34⋅56 A.G. M1 A1
State (at least) null hypothesis: H0: B(4, 0⋅6) fits data (A.E.F.) B1
Combine adjacent cells since exp. value < 5: O: 14 27 49 10
E: 17⋅92 34⋅56 34⋅56 12⋅96 *M1
Calculate value of χ2 (to 2 dp ; A1 dep *M1): χ2 = 9⋅22 M1 A1
Compare with consistent tabular value (to 2 dp): χ 3, 0.95 2 = 7⋅815 (cells combined)
χ 4, 0.95 2 = 9⋅488 (not combined) B1
χ2
Valid method for reaching conclusion: Reject H0 if > tabular value M1
Correct conclusion (A.E.F., requires correct values): 9⋅22 > 7⋅81[5] so distn. does not fit *A1
State valid deduction (dep *A1; allow p ≠ 0⋅6): Prob. of faulty chips ≠ 0⋅6 (A.E.F.) B1 | (2)
(8) | [10]
It has been found that 60\% of the computer chips produced in a factory are faulty. As part of quality control, 100 samples of 4 chips are selected at random, and each chip is tested. The number of faulty chips in each sample is recorded, with the results given in the following table.

\begin{tabular}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|}
\hline
Number of faulty chips & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 \\
\hline
Number of samples & 2 & 12 & 27 & 49 & 10 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}

The expected values for a binomial distribution with parameters $n = 4$ and $p = 0.6$ are given in the following table.

\begin{tabular}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|}
\hline
Number of faulty chips & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 \\
\hline
Expected value & 2.56 & 15.36 & 34.56 & 34.56 & 12.96 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}

Show how the expected value 34.56 corresponding to 2 faulty chips is obtained. [2]

Carry out a goodness of fit test at the 5\% significance level, and state what can be deduced from the outcome of the test. [8]

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE FP2 2009 Q9 [10]}}