AQA S1 2006 June — Question 5 17 marks

Exam BoardAQA
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2006
SessionJune
Marks17
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicBinomial Distribution
TypeProbability of range of values
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a straightforward S1 binomial distribution question requiring standard calculations: P(X=5), P(X<7.5), P(2<X<7), mean/variance formulas, and basic data analysis. All techniques are routine textbook exercises with no novel problem-solving required, making it slightly easier than average for A-level.
Spec2.04b Binomial distribution: as model B(n,p)2.04c Calculate binomial probabilities5.02d Binomial: mean np and variance np(1-p)

5 Kirk and Les regularly play each other at darts.
  1. The probability that Kirk wins any game is 0.3 , and the outcome of each game is independent of the outcome of every other game. Find the probability that, in a match of 15 games, Kirk wins:
    1. exactly 5 games;
    2. fewer than half of the games;
    3. more than 2 but fewer than 7 games.
  2. Kirk attends darts coaching sessions for three months. He then claims that he has a probability of 0.4 of winning any game, and that the outcome of each game is independent of the outcome of every other game.
    1. Assuming this claim to be true, calculate the mean and standard deviation for the number of games won by Kirk in a match of 15 games.
    2. To assess Kirk's claim, Les keeps a record of the number of games won by Kirk in a series of 10 matches, each of 15 games, with the following results: $$\begin{array} { l l l l l l l l l l } 8 & 5 & 6 & 3 & 9 & 12 & 4 & 2 & 6 & 5 \end{array}$$ Calculate the mean and standard deviation of these values.
    3. Hence comment on the validity of Kirk's claim.

5 Kirk and Les regularly play each other at darts.
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item The probability that Kirk wins any game is 0.3 , and the outcome of each game is independent of the outcome of every other game.

Find the probability that, in a match of 15 games, Kirk wins:
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item exactly 5 games;
\item fewer than half of the games;
\item more than 2 but fewer than 7 games.
\end{enumerate}\item Kirk attends darts coaching sessions for three months. He then claims that he has a probability of 0.4 of winning any game, and that the outcome of each game is independent of the outcome of every other game.
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item Assuming this claim to be true, calculate the mean and standard deviation for the number of games won by Kirk in a match of 15 games.
\item To assess Kirk's claim, Les keeps a record of the number of games won by Kirk in a series of 10 matches, each of 15 games, with the following results:

$$\begin{array} { l l l l l l l l l l } 
8 & 5 & 6 & 3 & 9 & 12 & 4 & 2 & 6 & 5
\end{array}$$

Calculate the mean and standard deviation of these values.
\item Hence comment on the validity of Kirk's claim.
\end{enumerate}\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{AQA S1 2006 Q5 [17]}}