| Exam Board | AQA |
|---|---|
| Module | S1 (Statistics 1) |
| Year | 2005 |
| Session | January |
| Marks | 14 |
| Paper | Download PDF ↗ |
| Mark scheme | Download PDF ↗ |
| Topic | Probability Definitions |
| Type | Two-way table probabilities |
| Difficulty | Easy -1.2 This is a straightforward two-way table probability question requiring basic probability calculations (simple fractions from table totals), conditional probability, sampling without replacement, and set notation interpretation. All parts follow standard S1 procedures with no novel problem-solving required—purely routine application of definitions and formulas. |
| Spec | 2.03a Mutually exclusive and independent events2.03c Conditional probability: using diagrams/tables |
| \cline { 2 - 4 } \multicolumn{1}{c|}{} | Employment category | ||
| \cline { 2 - 4 } \multicolumn{1}{c|}{} | Managerial | Academic | Support |
| Male | 38 | 369 | 303 |
| Female | 26 | 275 | 643 |
| Surname | Other Names | ||||||||
| Centre Number | Candidate Number | ||||||||
| Candidate Signature | |||||||||
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Working | Mark | Guidance |
| \(P(F) = 944/1654\ (= 0.571)\) | M1 | Use of |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Working | Mark | Guidance |
| \(P(F \cap A) = 275/1654\ (= 0.166)\) | M1 | Use of |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Working | Mark | Guidance |
| \(P(F \cup A) = \frac{944 + 369}{1654}\) | M1 | Use of; OE |
| \(= 1313/1654\) or \(0.793\) to \(0.795\) | A1 | CAO/AWFW (0.7938) |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Working | Mark | Guidance |
| \(P(F \mid A) = \frac{\text{their (ii)}}{644/1654}\) | M1 | Use of |
| \(= 275/644\) or \(0.426\) to \(0.428\) | A1 | CAO/AWFW (0.4270) |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Working | Mark | Guidance |
| \(P(MMM) = \frac{710 \times 709 \times 708}{1654 \times 1653 \times 1652}\) | M1 | Use of (without replacement) |
| \(= 0.0788\) to \(0.0791\) | A1 | AWFW (no fraction) (0.07891) |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Working | Mark | Guidance |
| \(P(MFF) = \frac{710 \times 944 \times 943 \times 3}{1654 \times 1653 \times 1652}\) | M1 M1 | Use of one combination of \(MFF\) (without replacement); use of multiplier of 3 |
| \(= 0.419\) to \(0.421\) | A1 | AWFW (no fraction) (0.4198) |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Working | Mark | Guidance |
| Female (and) Academic | B1 | CAO |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Working | Mark | Guidance |
| Male | B1 | Not female \(\Rightarrow\) B0 |
| OR | 'OR' must be clearly stated or implied | |
| Academic (or both) | B1 | Addition of 'not both' \(\Rightarrow\) B0 |
# Question 6:
## Part (a)(i):
| Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---------|------|----------|
| $P(F) = 944/1654\ (= 0.571)$ | M1 | Use of |
## Part (a)(ii):
| Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---------|------|----------|
| $P(F \cap A) = 275/1654\ (= 0.166)$ | M1 | Use of |
## Part (a)(iii):
| Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---------|------|----------|
| $P(F \cup A) = \frac{944 + 369}{1654}$ | M1 | Use of; OE |
| $= 1313/1654$ or $0.793$ to $0.795$ | A1 | CAO/AWFW (0.7938) |
## Part (a)(iv):
| Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---------|------|----------|
| $P(F \mid A) = \frac{\text{their (ii)}}{644/1654}$ | M1 | Use of |
| $= 275/644$ or $0.426$ to $0.428$ | A1 | CAO/AWFW (0.4270) |
## Part (b)(i):
| Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---------|------|----------|
| $P(MMM) = \frac{710 \times 709 \times 708}{1654 \times 1653 \times 1652}$ | M1 | Use of (without replacement) |
| $= 0.0788$ to $0.0791$ | A1 | AWFW (no fraction) (0.07891) |
## Part (b)(ii):
| Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---------|------|----------|
| $P(MFF) = \frac{710 \times 944 \times 943 \times 3}{1654 \times 1653 \times 1652}$ | M1 M1 | Use of one combination of $MFF$ (without replacement); use of multiplier of 3 |
| $= 0.419$ to $0.421$ | A1 | AWFW (no fraction) (0.4198) |
## Part (c)(i):
| Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---------|------|----------|
| Female (and) Academic | B1 | CAO |
## Part (c)(ii):
| Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---------|------|----------|
| Male | B1 | Not female $\Rightarrow$ B0 |
| OR | | 'OR' must be clearly stated or implied |
| Academic (or both) | B1 | Addition of 'not both' $\Rightarrow$ B0 |
6 The table below shows the numbers of males and females in each of three employment categories at a university on 31 July 2003.
\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ | l | c | c | c | }
\cline { 2 - 4 }
\multicolumn{1}{c|}{} & \multicolumn{3}{c|}{Employment category} \\
\cline { 2 - 4 }
\multicolumn{1}{c|}{} & Managerial & Academic & Support \\
\hline
Male & 38 & 369 & 303 \\
\hline
Female & 26 & 275 & 643 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item An employee is selected at random. Determine the probability that the employee is:
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item female;
\item a female academic;
\item either female or academic or both;
\item female, given that the employee is academic.
\end{enumerate}\item Three employees are selected at random, without replacement. Determine the probability that:
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item all three employees are male;
\item exactly one employee is male.
\end{enumerate}\item The event "employee selected is academic" is denoted by $A$. The event "employee selected is female" is denoted by $F$.
Describe in context, as simply as possible, the events denoted by:
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item $F \cap A$;
\item $F ^ { \prime } \cup A$.
\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|}
\hline
Surname & \multicolumn{9}{|c|}{Other Names} \\
\hline
\multicolumn{2}{|c|}{Centre Number} & & & \multicolumn{2}{|l|}{Candidate Number} & & & & \\
\hline
\multicolumn{3}{|c|}{Candidate Signature} & & & & & & & \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}
General Certificate of Education\\
January 2005\\
Advanced Subsidiary Examination
MS/SS1B
AQA\\
459:5EMLM\\
: 11 P וPII " 1 : : ר\\
ALLI.ub c
\section*{STATISTICS}
Unit Statistics 1B
Insert for use in Question 3.\\
Fill in the boxes at the top of this page.\\
Fasten this insert securely to your answer book.
\begin{figure}[h]
\begin{center}
\captionsetup{labelformat=empty}
\caption{Scatter diagram for parcel deliveries by a van}
\includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{7faa4a2d-f5cc-4cc3-a3a9-5d8290ceabdc-8_2420_1664_349_175}
\end{center}
\end{figure}
Figure 1 (for Question 3)
\end{enumerate}\end{enumerate}
\hfill \mbox{\textit{AQA S1 2005 Q6 [14]}}