OCR MEI C2 2007 January — Question 13 12 marks

Exam BoardOCR MEI
ModuleC2 (Core Mathematics 2)
Year2007
SessionJanuary
Marks12
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicExponential Equations & Modelling
Typelog(y) vs x: convert and interpret
DifficultyModerate -0.3 This is a standard log-linear modelling question requiring routine application of logarithms to linearize exponential data, plotting points, reading gradient/intercept from a graph, and basic interpretation. While multi-part with 5 sections, each step follows a predictable textbook pattern with no novel problem-solving required. Slightly easier than average due to the scaffolded structure and straightforward calculations.
Spec1.06h Logarithmic graphs: reduce y=ax^n and y=kb^x to linear form2.02c Scatter diagrams and regression lines

13 Answer part (ii) of this question on the insert provided. The table gives a firm's monthly profits for the first few months after the start of its business, rounded to the nearest \(\pounds 100\).
Number of months after start-up \(( x )\)123456
Profit for this month \(( \pounds y )\)5008001200190030004800
The firm's profits, \(\pounds y\), for the \(x\) th month after start-up are modelled by $$y = k \times 10 ^ { a x }$$ where \(a\) and \(k\) are constants.
  1. Show that, according to this model, a graph of \(\log _ { 10 } y\) against \(x\) gives a straight line of gradient \(a\) and intercept \(\log _ { 10 } k\).
  2. On the insert, complete the table and plot \(\log _ { 10 } y\) against \(x\), drawing by eye a line of best fit.
  3. Use your graph to find an equation for \(y\) in terms of \(x\) for this model.
  4. For which month after start-up does this model predict profits of about \(\pounds 75000\) ?
  5. State one way in which this model is unrealistic.

Question 13(i):
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(y = k \times 10^{ax}\)
\(\log_{10} y = \log_{10} k + ax\)M1 Taking \(\log_{10}\) of both sides
Straight line with gradient \(a\) and intercept \(\log_{10} k\)A1 Both identified
Question 13(ii):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Table values: \(\log_{10} y\): \(2.70,\ 2.90,\ 3.08,\ 3.28,\ 3.48,\ 3.68\)B2 Plotted correctly with line of best fit
Question 13(iii):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Gradient \(a \approx 0.196\) (from graph)M1 A1 Reading from graph
Intercept \(\log_{10} k \approx 2.50\), so \(k \approx 316\)A1
Equation: \(y = 316 \times 10^{0.196x}\)A1 (values may vary slightly)
Question 13(iv):
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(\log_{10}(75000) = 4.875\)M1
Reading from graph: \(x \approx 12\) monthsA1 M1 A1 Correct use of equation or graph
Question 13(v):
AnswerMarks Guidance
E.g. profits cannot keep increasing indefinitely / model predicts unrealistically large profitsB1 Any valid comment
## Question 13(i):
$y = k \times 10^{ax}$ | 
$\log_{10} y = \log_{10} k + ax$ | M1 | Taking $\log_{10}$ of both sides
Straight line with gradient $a$ and intercept $\log_{10} k$ | A1 | Both identified

## Question 13(ii):
Table values: $\log_{10} y$: $2.70,\ 2.90,\ 3.08,\ 3.28,\ 3.48,\ 3.68$ | B2 | Plotted correctly with line of best fit

## Question 13(iii):
Gradient $a \approx 0.196$ (from graph) | M1 A1 | Reading from graph
Intercept $\log_{10} k \approx 2.50$, so $k \approx 316$ | A1 | 
Equation: $y = 316 \times 10^{0.196x}$ | A1 | (values may vary slightly)

## Question 13(iv):
$\log_{10}(75000) = 4.875$ | M1 | 
Reading from graph: $x \approx 12$ months | A1 M1 A1 | Correct use of equation or graph

## Question 13(v):
E.g. profits cannot keep increasing indefinitely / model predicts unrealistically large profits | B1 | Any valid comment
13 Answer part (ii) of this question on the insert provided.
The table gives a firm's monthly profits for the first few months after the start of its business, rounded to the nearest $\pounds 100$.

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ | l | c | c | c | c | c | c | }
\hline
Number of months after start-up $( x )$ & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 & 6 \\
\hline
Profit for this month $( \pounds y )$ & 500 & 800 & 1200 & 1900 & 3000 & 4800 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

The firm's profits, $\pounds y$, for the $x$ th month after start-up are modelled by

$$y = k \times 10 ^ { a x }$$

where $a$ and $k$ are constants.\\
(i) Show that, according to this model, a graph of $\log _ { 10 } y$ against $x$ gives a straight line of gradient $a$ and intercept $\log _ { 10 } k$.\\
(ii) On the insert, complete the table and plot $\log _ { 10 } y$ against $x$, drawing by eye a line of best fit.\\
(iii) Use your graph to find an equation for $y$ in terms of $x$ for this model.\\
(iv) For which month after start-up does this model predict profits of about $\pounds 75000$ ?\\
(v) State one way in which this model is unrealistic.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR MEI C2 2007 Q13 [12]}}