Edexcel FS1 2023 June — Question 3

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleFS1 (Further Statistics 1)
Year2023
SessionJune
TopicChi-squared distribution

  1. In a class experiment, each day for 170 days, a child is chosen at random and spins a large cardboard coin 5 times and the number of heads is recorded.
    The results are summarised in the following table.
Number of heads012345
Frequency31045623812
Marcus believes that a \(\mathrm { B } ( 5,0.5 )\) distribution can be used to model these data and he calculates expected frequencies, to 2 decimal places, as follows
Number of heads012345
Expected frequency\(r\)26.56\(s\)\(s\)26.56\(r\)
  1. Find the value of \(r\) and the value of \(s\)
  2. Carry out a suitable test, at the \(5 \%\) level of significance, to determine whether or not the \(\mathrm { B } ( 5,0.5 )\) distribution is a good model for these data.
    You should state clearly your hypotheses, the test statistic and the critical value used. Nima believes that a better model for these data would be \(\mathrm { B } ( 5 , p )\)
  3. Find a suitable estimate for \(p\) To test her model, Nima uses this value of \(p\), to calculate expected frequencies as follows
    Number of heads012345
    Expected frequency2.0714.6541.4458.6341.4711.74
    The test statistic for Nima’s test is 1.62 (to 3 significant figures)
  4. State,
    1. giving your reasons, the degrees of freedom
    2. the critical value
      that Nima should use for a test at the 5\% significance level.
  5. With reference to Marcus' and Nima's test results, comment on
    1. the probability of the coin landing on heads,
    2. the independence of the spins of the coin. Give reasons for your answers.