Edexcel FP2 2023 June — Question 3 9 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleFP2 (Further Pure Mathematics 2)
Year2023
SessionJune
Marks9
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicSequences and series, recurrence and convergence
TypeApplied recurrence modeling
DifficultyChallenging +1.2 This is a standard FP2 recurrence relation question with three routine parts: (a) explaining a given recurrence relation from a word problem (straightforward interpretation), (b) proof by induction following a provided formula (mechanical application of induction steps), and (c) model evaluation (simple substitution and comparison). While it involves Further Maths content, each part follows predictable patterns with no novel problem-solving required, making it slightly above average difficulty due to the multi-step nature and induction component.
Spec1.04e Sequences: nth term and recurrence relations4.01a Mathematical induction: construct proofs

  1. In a model for the number of subscribers to a new social media channel it is assumed that
  • each week \(20 \%\) of the subscribers at the start of the week cancel their subscriptions
  • between the start and end of week \(n\) the channel gains \(20 n\) new subscribers
Given that at the end of week 1 there were 25 subscribers,
  1. explain why the number of subscribers at the end of week \(n , U _ { n }\), is modelled by the recurrence relation $$U _ { 1 } = 25 \quad U _ { n + 1 } = 0.8 U _ { n } + 20 ( n + 1 ) \quad n = 1,2,3 , \ldots$$
  2. Prove by induction that for \(n \geqslant 1\) $$U _ { n } = 325 \left( \frac { 4 } { 5 } \right) ^ { n - 1 } + 100 n - 400$$ Given that 6 months after starting the channel there were approximately 1800 subscribers,
  3. evaluate the model in the light of this information.

Question 3:
Part (a)
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
Two of: \(U_1=25\); 20% leave so \(0.8U_n\) remain; \(20(n+1)\) new subscribers added at end of week \(n\)M1 At least two aspects explained
\(U_{n+1}=0.8U_n+20(n+1),\quad U_1=25\)A1 All three aspects combined correctly
Part (b)
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
\(n=1\Rightarrow U_1=325\times1+100\times1-400=25\) ✓B1 Base case verified
\(U_{k+1}=0.8U_k+20k+20=0.8\!\left(325\!\left(\tfrac{4}{5}\right)^{k-1}+100k-400\right)+20k+20\)M1 Inductive assumption made and closed form substituted
\(=325\times\tfrac{4}{5}\times\left(\tfrac{4}{5}\right)^{k-1}+80k-320+20k+20 = 325\times\left(\tfrac{4}{5}\right)^k+100k-300\)M1 Simplifies combining powers of \(\tfrac{4}{5}\) into one term
\(=325\times\left(\tfrac{4}{5}\right)^k+100(k+1)-400\)A1 Correct form with \(k+1\) in linear term
Conclusion: true for \(n=k\Rightarrow\) true for \(n=k+1\); true for \(n=1\); therefore true for all \(n\geqslant1\)A1 All bold conclusion statements required
Part (c)
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
Attempt at \(U_{24}=325\times0.8^{23}+2400-400=2001.9\ldots\), or \(U_{25}=2101.5\ldots\), or \(U_{26}=2201.2\ldots\), or \(U_{27}=2300.98\ldots\)M1 Attempt at relevant week value
Correct value for weeks 24–27; compares with 1800 after 6 months; e.g. model overestimates by 400 people, therefore not a very good modelA1 Valid comparison and conclusion
# Question 3:

## Part (a)
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Two of: $U_1=25$; 20% leave so $0.8U_n$ remain; $20(n+1)$ new subscribers added at end of week $n$ | M1 | At least two aspects explained |
| $U_{n+1}=0.8U_n+20(n+1),\quad U_1=25$ | A1 | All three aspects combined correctly |

## Part (b)
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $n=1\Rightarrow U_1=325\times1+100\times1-400=25$ ✓ | B1 | Base case verified |
| $U_{k+1}=0.8U_k+20k+20=0.8\!\left(325\!\left(\tfrac{4}{5}\right)^{k-1}+100k-400\right)+20k+20$ | M1 | Inductive assumption made and closed form substituted |
| $=325\times\tfrac{4}{5}\times\left(\tfrac{4}{5}\right)^{k-1}+80k-320+20k+20 = 325\times\left(\tfrac{4}{5}\right)^k+100k-300$ | M1 | Simplifies combining powers of $\tfrac{4}{5}$ into one term |
| $=325\times\left(\tfrac{4}{5}\right)^k+100(k+1)-400$ | A1 | Correct form with $k+1$ in linear term |
| Conclusion: true for $n=k\Rightarrow$ true for $n=k+1$; true for $n=1$; therefore true for all $n\geqslant1$ | A1 | All bold conclusion statements required |

## Part (c)
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Attempt at $U_{24}=325\times0.8^{23}+2400-400=2001.9\ldots$, or $U_{25}=2101.5\ldots$, or $U_{26}=2201.2\ldots$, or $U_{27}=2300.98\ldots$ | M1 | Attempt at relevant week value |
| Correct value for weeks 24–27; compares with 1800 after 6 months; e.g. model overestimates by 400 people, therefore not a very good model | A1 | Valid comparison and conclusion |
\begin{enumerate}
  \item In a model for the number of subscribers to a new social media channel it is assumed that
\end{enumerate}

\begin{itemize}
  \item each week $20 \%$ of the subscribers at the start of the week cancel their subscriptions
  \item between the start and end of week $n$ the channel gains $20 n$ new subscribers
\end{itemize}

Given that at the end of week 1 there were 25 subscribers,\\
(a) explain why the number of subscribers at the end of week $n , U _ { n }$, is modelled by the recurrence relation

$$U _ { 1 } = 25 \quad U _ { n + 1 } = 0.8 U _ { n } + 20 ( n + 1 ) \quad n = 1,2,3 , \ldots$$

(b) Prove by induction that for $n \geqslant 1$

$$U _ { n } = 325 \left( \frac { 4 } { 5 } \right) ^ { n - 1 } + 100 n - 400$$

Given that 6 months after starting the channel there were approximately 1800 subscribers,\\
(c) evaluate the model in the light of this information.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel FP2 2023 Q3 [9]}}