OCR MEI Further Statistics B AS 2021 November — Question 4 9 marks

Exam BoardOCR MEI
ModuleFurther Statistics B AS (Further Statistics B AS)
Year2021
SessionNovember
Marks9
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicWilcoxon tests
TypeWilcoxon signed-rank test (single sample)
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a straightforward application of the Wilcoxon signed-rank test with clear hypotheses (testing if median > 12.7). Students must calculate differences, rank them, find the test statistic, and compare to critical values. While it requires careful arithmetic and knowledge of the procedure, it's a standard textbook exercise with no novel insight required. The assumption question in part (b) is routine recall.
Spec5.07b Sign test: and Wilcoxon signed-rank

4 John regularly downloads podcasts onto his mobile phone. From past experience he knows that the average time to download one 30 -minute podcast is 12.7 s . He believes that this time has recently increased. At each of 12 randomly chosen times, he downloads a 30-minute podcast. The times in seconds to download the 12 podcasts are as follows. \(\begin{array} { l l l l l l l l l l l } 12.63 & 13.24 & 11.73 & 14.91 & 13.17 & 13.53 & 12.33 & 14.27 & 11.48 & 13.51 & 13.05 \end{array} 13.83\)
  1. Given that it is not known whether the times are Normally distributed, carry out a suitable test at the \(5 \%\) significance level to investigate whether the average download time has increased.
  2. What assumption is required to carry out the test in part (a)?

Question 4:
AnswerMarks Guidance
4(a) Wilcoxon signed-rank test
H : population median is 12.7
0
H : population median is greater than 12.7
1
AnswerMarks
TimeTime
Time − − Rank
AnswerMarks
12.7 12.7
12.63 -0.07 0.07 1
13.24 0.54 0.54 5
11.73 -0.97 0.97 8
14.91 2.21 2.21 12
13.17 0.47 0.47 4
13.53 0.83 0.83 7
12.33 -0.37 0.37 3
14.27 1.57 1.57 11
11.48 -1.22 1.22 10
13.51 0.81 0.81 6
13.05 0.35 0.35 2
13.83 1.13 1.13 9
W = 1 + 8 + 3 + 10 = 22
(W = 5 + 12 + 4 + 7 + 11 + 6 + 2 + 9 = 56)
+
Test statistic = W = 22
Critical value = 17
So do not reject H
0
Insufficient evidence to suggest that download
AnswerMarks
time has increased.B1
B1
B1
M1
M1
A1
B1
A1
AnswerMarks
[8]1.1a
3.3
2.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
3.4
AnswerMarks
3.5aCan be implied by correct procedure
being carried out
Population median used
Both correct
For attempt at ranking
Attempt to calculate either W or W
+ -
Do not FT incorrect test statistic or
critical value
AnswerMarks Guidance
4(b) The underlying distribution is symmetrical
[1]1.2
TimeTime
AnswerMarks Guidance
12.7 Time
AnswerMarks Guidance
12.7 Rank
12.63-0.07 0.07
13.240.54 0.54
11.73-0.97 0.97
14.912.21 2.21
13.170.47 0.47
13.530.83 0.83
12.33-0.37 0.37
14.271.57 1.57
11.48-1.22 1.22
13.510.81 0.81
13.050.35 0.35
13.831.13 1.13
Question 4:
4 | (a) | Wilcoxon signed-rank test
H : population median is 12.7
0
H : population median is greater than 12.7
1
Time |Time
Time − − Rank
12.7 12.7|
12.63 -0.07 0.07 1
13.24 0.54 0.54 5
11.73 -0.97 0.97 8
14.91 2.21 2.21 12
13.17 0.47 0.47 4
13.53 0.83 0.83 7
12.33 -0.37 0.37 3
14.27 1.57 1.57 11
11.48 -1.22 1.22 10
13.51 0.81 0.81 6
13.05 0.35 0.35 2
13.83 1.13 1.13 9
W = 1 + 8 + 3 + 10 = 22
-
(W = 5 + 12 + 4 + 7 + 11 + 6 + 2 + 9 = 56)
+
Test statistic = W = 22
-
Critical value = 17
So do not reject H
0
Insufficient evidence to suggest that download
time has increased. | B1
B1
B1
M1
M1
A1
B1
A1
[8] | 1.1a
3.3
2.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
3.4
3.5a | Can be implied by correct procedure
being carried out
Population median used
Both correct
For attempt at ranking
Attempt to calculate either W or W
+ -
Do not FT incorrect test statistic or
critical value
4 | (b) | The underlying distribution is symmetrical | E1
[1] | 1.2
Time | Time
−
12.7 | |Time
−
12.7| | Rank
12.63 | -0.07 | 0.07 | 1
13.24 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 5
11.73 | -0.97 | 0.97 | 8
14.91 | 2.21 | 2.21 | 12
13.17 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 4
13.53 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 7
12.33 | -0.37 | 0.37 | 3
14.27 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 11
11.48 | -1.22 | 1.22 | 10
13.51 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 6
13.05 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 2
13.83 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 9
4 John regularly downloads podcasts onto his mobile phone. From past experience he knows that the average time to download one 30 -minute podcast is 12.7 s . He believes that this time has recently increased. At each of 12 randomly chosen times, he downloads a 30-minute podcast. The times in seconds to download the 12 podcasts are as follows.\\
$\begin{array} { l l l l l l l l l l l } 12.63 & 13.24 & 11.73 & 14.91 & 13.17 & 13.53 & 12.33 & 14.27 & 11.48 & 13.51 & 13.05 \end{array} 13.83$
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Given that it is not known whether the times are Normally distributed, carry out a suitable test at the $5 \%$ significance level to investigate whether the average download time has increased.
\item What assumption is required to carry out the test in part (a)?
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR MEI Further Statistics B AS 2021 Q4 [9]}}