2 A plane flies regularly between airports D and T with an intermediate stop at airport M . The time of the plane's departure from, or arrival at, each airport is classified as either early, on time, or late.
On \(90 \%\) of flights, the plane departs from D on time, and on \(10 \%\) of flights, it departs from D late.
Of those flights that depart from D on time, \(65 \%\) then depart from M on time and \(35 \%\) depart from M late.
Of those flights that depart from D late, \(15 \%\) then depart from M on time and \(85 \%\) depart from M late.
Any flight that departs from M on time has probability 0.25 of arriving at T early, probability 0.60 of arriving at T on time and probability 0.15 of arriving at T late.
Any flight that departs from M late has probability 0.10 of arriving at T early, probability 0.20 of arriving at T on time and probability 0.70 of arriving at T late.
- Represent this information by a tree diagram on which labels and percentages or probabilities are shown.
- Hence, or otherwise, calculate the probability that the plane:
- arrives at T on time;
- arrives at T on time, given that it departed from D on time;
- does not arrive at T late, given that it departed from D on time;
- does not arrive at T late, given that it departed from M on time.
- Three independent flights of the plane depart from \(D\) on time.
Calculate the probability that two flights arrive at T on time and that one flight arrives at T early.
[0pt]
[4 marks]