2 On a rail route between two stations, A and \(\mathrm { B } , 90 \%\) of trains leave A on time and \(10 \%\) of trains leave A late.
Of those trains that leave A on time, \(15 \%\) arrive at B early, \(75 \%\) arrive on time and \(10 \%\) arrive late.
Of those trains that leave A late, \(35 \%\) arrive at B on time and \(65 \%\) arrive late.
- Represent this information by a fully-labelled tree diagram.
- Hence, or otherwise, calculate the probability that a train:
- arrives at B early or on time;
- left A on time, given that it arrived at B on time;
- left A late, given that it was not late in arriving at B .
- Two trains arrive late at B. Assuming that their journey times are independent, calculate the probability that exactly one train left A on time.