4. A bag contains 40 beads of the same shape and size. The ratio of red to green to blue beads is \(1 : 3 : 4\) and there are no beads of any other colour.
In an experiment, a bead is picked at random, its colour noted and the bead replaced in the bag. This is done ten times.
- Suggest a suitable distribution for modelling the number of times a blue bead is picked out and give the value of any parameters needed.
- Explain why this distribution would not be suitable if the beads were not replaced in the bag.
- Find the probability that of the ten beads picked out
- five are blue,
- at least one is red.
The experiment is repeated, but this time a bead is picked out and replaced \(n\) times.
- Find in the form \(a ^ { n } < b\), where \(a\) and \(b\) are exact fractions, the condition which \(n\) must satisfy in order to have at least a \(99 \%\) chance of picking out at least one red bead.