| Exam Board | Edexcel |
|---|---|
| Module | S3 (Statistics 3) |
| Year | 2017 |
| Session | June |
| Marks | 9 |
| Paper | Download PDF ↗ |
| Mark scheme | Download PDF ↗ |
| Topic | Hypothesis test of Spearman’s rank correlation coefficien |
| Type | Hypothesis test for positive correlation |
| Difficulty | Standard +0.3 This is a straightforward application of Spearman's rank correlation coefficient with clear data and standard hypothesis testing. The ranking is given explicitly, the formula is standard, and the test procedure is routine for S3 level. Slightly easier than average due to small sample size (n=8) and no complications like tied ranks. |
| Spec | 5.08e Spearman rank correlation5.08f Hypothesis test: Spearman rank |
| Parrot | \(A\) | \(B\) | \(C\) | \(D\) | \(E\) | \(F\) | \(G\) | \(H\) |
| Age | 10 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
| Ranks correctly assigned (Rank Age: 3,6,2,1,7,8,4,5 and Rank Breeder: 5,6,4,1,8,7,2,3) | M1 | Attempt to rank for actual ages or breeder's estimates. At least 4 correct in either row. Allow reverse rankings. |
| Finding differences between ranks and evaluating \(\sum d^2\) | M1 | Independent of 1st M1 but must be ranks |
| \(\sum d^2 = 4+0+4+0+1+1+4+4 = 18\) | A1 | |
| \(r_s = 1 - \dfrac{6(18)}{8(8^2-1)}\) | dM1 | Dependent on 1st M1. For use of correct formula with their \(\sum d^2\) |
| \(\dfrac{11}{14}\) or awrt \(0.786\) | A1 |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
| \(H_0: \rho = 0\), \(H_1: \rho > 0\) | B1 | Both hypotheses correct in terms of \(\rho\) or \(\rho_s\) |
| Critical Value \(= 0.8333\) or CR: \(r_s \geqslant 0.8333\) | B1 | Critical value of \(0.8333\) |
| Since \(r_s = 0.7857...\) does not lie in the CR (or \(0.7857... < 0.8333\)), do not reject \(H_0\) | M1 | For a correct statement relating their \(r_s\) \(( |
| The breeder does not have the ability to correctly order parrots by age / there is insufficient evidence that the breeder can correctly order parrots by age | A1ft | Must mention "breeder", "order", "parrots". All previous marks in part (b) must have been scored. |
# Question 1:
## Part (a)
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Ranks correctly assigned (Rank Age: 3,6,2,1,7,8,4,5 and Rank Breeder: 5,6,4,1,8,7,2,3) | M1 | Attempt to rank for actual ages or breeder's estimates. At least 4 correct in either row. Allow reverse rankings. |
| Finding differences between ranks and evaluating $\sum d^2$ | M1 | Independent of 1st M1 but must be ranks |
| $\sum d^2 = 4+0+4+0+1+1+4+4 = 18$ | A1 | |
| $r_s = 1 - \dfrac{6(18)}{8(8^2-1)}$ | dM1 | Dependent on 1st M1. For use of correct formula with their $\sum d^2$ |
| $\dfrac{11}{14}$ or awrt $0.786$ | A1 | |
**[5]**
## Part (b)
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $H_0: \rho = 0$, $H_1: \rho > 0$ | B1 | Both hypotheses correct in terms of $\rho$ or $\rho_s$ |
| Critical Value $= 0.8333$ or CR: $r_s \geqslant 0.8333$ | B1 | Critical value of $0.8333$ |
| Since $r_s = 0.7857...$ does not lie in the CR (or $0.7857... < 0.8333$), do not reject $H_0$ | M1 | For a correct statement relating their $r_s$ $(|r_s|<1)$ with their c.v. where $|\text{c.v.}|<1$ |
| The breeder does **not** have the ability to correctly order parrots by age / there is **insufficient evidence** that the breeder can correctly order parrots by age | A1ft | Must mention "breeder", "order", "parrots". All previous marks in part (b) must have been scored. |
**[4]**
**Note (Two-tailed test):** Applying a two-tailed test scores maximum B0B1M1A0. Award SC B0B1 for $H_0: \rho=0$, $H_1: \rho \neq 0$ followed by critical value $r_s = (\pm)0.881$ and allow access to M1 mark only.
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\begin{enumerate}
\item The ages, in years, of a random sample of 8 parrots are shown in the table below.
\end{enumerate}
\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ | l | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | }
\hline
Parrot & $A$ & $B$ & $C$ & $D$ & $E$ & $F$ & $G$ & $H$ \\
\hline
Age & 10 & 4 & 13 & 15 & 2 & 1 & 8 & 6 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}
A parrot breeder does not know the ages of these 8 parrots. She examines each of these 8 parrots and is asked to put them in order of decreasing age. She puts them in the order
$$\begin{array} { l l l l l l l l }
D & G & H & C & A & B & F & E
\end{array}$$
(a) Find, to 3 decimal places, Spearman's rank correlation coefficient between the breeder's order and the actual order.\\
(5)\\
(b) Use your value of Spearman's rank correlation coefficient to test for evidence of the breeder's ability to order parrots correctly, by their age, after examining them. Use a $1 \%$ significance level and state your hypotheses clearly.
\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S3 2017 Q1 [9]}}