Edexcel S2 2023 October — Question 3 9 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2023
SessionOctober
Marks9
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicContinuous Uniform Random Variables
TypeWaiting time applications
DifficultyModerate -0.8 This is a straightforward S2 uniform distribution question requiring basic understanding of the setup (showing α and β are given values), writing down the standard PDF formula, and applying memorized formulas for E(T) and Var(T). The context requires minimal problem-solving—students just need to add fixed times (3 + up to 15 + 29) and apply textbook formulas. Easier than average A-level.
Spec5.03a Continuous random variables: pdf and cdf5.03b Solve problems: using pdf5.03c Calculate mean/variance: by integration

  1. Every morning Navtej travels from home to work. Navtej leaves home at a random time between 08:00 and 08:15
  • It always takes Navtej 3 minutes to walk to the bus stop
  • Buses run every 15 minutes and Navtej catches the first bus that arrives
  • Once Navtej has caught the bus it always takes a further 29 minutes for Navtej to reach work
The total time, \(T\) minutes, for Navtej's journey from home to work is modelled by a continuous uniform distribution over the interval \([ \alpha , \beta ]\)
    1. Show that \(\alpha = 32\)
    2. Show that \(\beta = 47\)
  1. State fully the probability density function for this distribution.
  2. Find the value of
    1. \(\mathrm { E } ( T )\)
    2. \(\operatorname { Var } ( T )\)
  3. Find the probability that the time for Navtej's journey is within 5 minutes of 35 minutes.

Question 3:
Part (a)(i)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\(3 + [0] + 29 = 32\)B1* For \(3+[0]+29\)
Part (a)(ii)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\(3 + 15 + 29 = 47\)B1* For \(3+15+29\). Allow \(32+15\)
Part (b)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\(f(t) = \begin{cases}\frac{1}{15} & 32 \leq t \leq 47 \\ 0 & \text{otherwise}\end{cases}\)M1 For \(f(t)=\frac{1}{15}\), \(32\leq t\leq 47\). Allow use of \(<\) instead of \(\leq\). Must have \(f(t)\) and an inequality
A1Fully correct pdf. Must be \(f(t)\) and \(t\). Allow use of \(<\). Allow equivalent for 0 otherwise
Part (c)(i)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\([E(T)=]\ 39.5\) oeB1 For 39.5 oe
Part (c)(ii)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\([\text{Var}(T)=]\frac{(47-32)^2}{12}\)M1 For use of \(\text{Var}(T)=\frac{(\beta-\alpha)^2}{12}\)
\(\frac{75}{4} = 18.75\)A1 For 18.75 oe
Part (d)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\((40-32)\times\frac{1}{15}\)M1 For use of \((40-\alpha)\times\frac{1}{\beta-\alpha}\)
\(= \frac{8}{15}\)A1 For \(\frac{8}{15}\) oe. Allow awrt 0.533
# Question 3:

## Part (a)(i)
| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $3 + [0] + 29 = 32$ | B1* | For $3+[0]+29$ |

## Part (a)(ii)
| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $3 + 15 + 29 = 47$ | B1* | For $3+15+29$. Allow $32+15$ |

## Part (b)
| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $f(t) = \begin{cases}\frac{1}{15} & 32 \leq t \leq 47 \\ 0 & \text{otherwise}\end{cases}$ | M1 | For $f(t)=\frac{1}{15}$, $32\leq t\leq 47$. Allow use of $<$ instead of $\leq$. Must have $f(t)$ and an inequality |
| | A1 | Fully correct pdf. Must be $f(t)$ and $t$. Allow use of $<$. Allow equivalent for 0 otherwise |

## Part (c)(i)
| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $[E(T)=]\ 39.5$ oe | B1 | For 39.5 oe |

## Part (c)(ii)
| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $[\text{Var}(T)=]\frac{(47-32)^2}{12}$ | M1 | For use of $\text{Var}(T)=\frac{(\beta-\alpha)^2}{12}$ |
| $\frac{75}{4} = 18.75$ | A1 | For 18.75 oe |

## Part (d)
| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $(40-32)\times\frac{1}{15}$ | M1 | For use of $(40-\alpha)\times\frac{1}{\beta-\alpha}$ |
| $= \frac{8}{15}$ | A1 | For $\frac{8}{15}$ oe. Allow awrt 0.533 |

---
\begin{enumerate}
  \item Every morning Navtej travels from home to work. Navtej leaves home at a random time between 08:00 and 08:15
\end{enumerate}

\begin{itemize}
  \item It always takes Navtej 3 minutes to walk to the bus stop
  \item Buses run every 15 minutes and Navtej catches the first bus that arrives
  \item Once Navtej has caught the bus it always takes a further 29 minutes for Navtej to reach work
\end{itemize}

The total time, $T$ minutes, for Navtej's journey from home to work is modelled by a continuous uniform distribution over the interval $[ \alpha , \beta ]$\\
(a) (i) Show that $\alpha = 32$\\
(ii) Show that $\beta = 47$\\
(b) State fully the probability density function for this distribution.\\
(c) Find the value of\\
(i) $\mathrm { E } ( T )$\\
(ii) $\operatorname { Var } ( T )$\\
(d) Find the probability that the time for Navtej's journey is within 5 minutes of 35 minutes.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S2 2023 Q3 [9]}}