Edexcel S2 2022 October — Question 7 12 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2022
SessionOctober
Marks12
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicContinuous Uniform Random Variables
TypeFind parameters from given statistics
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This S2 question tests standard uniform distribution formulas (mean, variance, probability) with straightforward algebraic manipulation. Part (i) requires solving two equations in two unknowns, part (ii) applies the variance formula directly, and part (iii) needs basic geometric probability reasoning. All parts are routine applications of textbook methods with no novel insight required, making it slightly easier than average.
Spec5.03a Continuous random variables: pdf and cdf5.03b Solve problems: using pdf5.03c Calculate mean/variance: by integration

  1. (i) The continuous random variable \(X\) is uniformly distributed over the interval \([ a , b ]\)
Given that \(\mathrm { P } ( 5 < X < 13 ) = \frac { 1 } { 5 }\) and \(\mathrm { E } ( X ) = 9\), find \(\mathrm { P } ( 3 X > a + b )\) (ii) The continuous random variable \(Y\) is uniformly distributed over the interval \([ 1 , c ]\) Given that \(\operatorname { Var } ( Y ) = 0.48\), find the exact value of \(\mathrm { E } \left( Y ^ { 2 } \right)\) (iii) A wire of length 20 cm is cut into 2 pieces at a random point. The longest piece of wire is then cut into 2 pieces, equal in length, giving 3 pieces of wire altogether. Find the probability that the length of the shortest piece of wire is less than 6 cm .

Question 7:
Part (i):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Working/AnswerMark Guidance
\(\frac{a+b}{2} = 9\) and \(\frac{13-5}{b-a} = \frac{1}{5}\) or \(a = -11\) and \(b = 29\)M1 Setting up 2 correct equations; may be implied by correct answers for \(a\) and \(b\)
\(P\!\left(X > \frac{"29"-"11"}{3}\right) \left[= P(X>6)\right]\) or \(P\!\left(X > \frac{9\times2}{3}\right) = \frac{23}{40}\)M1A1 Realising need to find \(P(X>6)\); A1 for \(\frac{23}{40}\) oe or 0.575
Part (ii):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Working/AnswerMark Guidance
\(\frac{1}{12}(c-1)^2 = 0.48 \Rightarrow c = 3.4\)M1 Correct equation to find \(c\) with \(c = \ldots\)
\(E(Y) = \frac{1 + "3.4"}{2}\)M1 Correct method for finding \(E(Y)\) using "their \(c\)"
\(E(Y^2) = 0.48 + \left(\frac{1+3.4}{2}\right)^2 = 5.32\)M1A1 Correct method for \(E(Y^2)\) using "their \(E(Y)^2\)"; A1 for 5.32 (allow \(\frac{133}{25}\))
Part (iii):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Working/AnswerMark Guidance
\(W < 6\) or \(W > 14\) or \(X < 12\) or \(Y > 8\) (any letter, ignore distribution)M1 For identifying a correct region
\(2\times P(W<6) = 2\times\frac{6-0}{20}\) or \(2\times P(W>14) = 2\times\frac{20-14}{20}\) or \(P(W<6) = \frac{3}{10}\) and \(P(W>14) = \frac{3}{10}\) or \(P(X>14) = \frac{3}{5}\) or \(P(Y<6) = \frac{3}{5}\)M1 Correct method for a required probability associated with correct distribution
\(P(8 < W < 12) = \frac{12-8}{20}\) or \(P(X<12) = \frac{12-10}{10}\) or \(P(Y>8) = \frac{10-8}{10}\)M1 Correct method for second required probability
\(P(\text{shortest side} < 6) = "\frac{3}{10}" + "\frac{3}{10}" + "\frac{1}{5}"\) or \("\frac{1}{5}" + "\frac{3}{5}"= \frac{4}{5}\)dM1 Dependent on previous 3 M marks
\(\frac{4}{5}\)A1 cao
Alternative 1:
AnswerMarks Guidance
Working/AnswerMark Guidance
\(6 < W < 8\) or \(12 < W < 14\) (any letter, ignore distribution)M1 Identifying correct region
\(P(6M1 Correct method for required probability
\(2\times P(6M1 Correct method for second probability
\(P(\text{shortest side} < 6) = 1 - "\frac{1}{10}" - "\frac{1}{10}"\) or \(1 - "\frac{2}{10}" = \frac{4}{5}\)dM1A1 Dependent on previous 3 M marks; cao
Alternative 2:
AnswerMarks Guidance
Working/AnswerMark Guidance
\(W > 10\) or \(12 < W < 14\) or \(6 < W < 8\) or \(W < 10\) (any letter)M1 Identifying correct region
\(P(12and \(P(W>10) = \frac{1}{2}\) or \(P(6and \(P(W<10) = \frac{1}{2}\)M1 Correct method for both required probabilities
\(P(1210) = \frac{"\frac{1}{10}"}{"\frac{1}{2}"}\left[= \frac{1}{5}\right]\) or \(P(6M1 Correct use of conditional probability
\(P(\text{shortest side} < 6) = 1 - "\frac{1}{5}" = \frac{4}{5}\)dM1A1 Dependent on previous 3 M marks; cao
> NB: Any answer of \(\frac{4}{5}\) scores 5/5 provided it has not come from incorrect working.
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# Question 7:

## Part (i):
| Working/Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $\frac{a+b}{2} = 9$ and $\frac{13-5}{b-a} = \frac{1}{5}$ or $a = -11$ and $b = 29$ | M1 | Setting up 2 correct equations; may be implied by correct answers for $a$ and $b$ |
| $P\!\left(X > \frac{"29"-"11"}{3}\right) \left[= P(X>6)\right]$ or $P\!\left(X > \frac{9\times2}{3}\right) = \frac{23}{40}$ | M1A1 | Realising need to find $P(X>6)$; A1 for $\frac{23}{40}$ oe or 0.575 |

## Part (ii):
| Working/Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $\frac{1}{12}(c-1)^2 = 0.48 \Rightarrow c = 3.4$ | M1 | Correct equation to find $c$ with $c = \ldots$ |
| $E(Y) = \frac{1 + "3.4"}{2}$ | M1 | Correct method for finding $E(Y)$ using "their $c$" |
| $E(Y^2) = 0.48 + \left(\frac{1+3.4}{2}\right)^2 = 5.32$ | M1A1 | Correct method for $E(Y^2)$ using "their $E(Y)^2$"; A1 for 5.32 (allow $\frac{133}{25}$) |

## Part (iii):
| Working/Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $W < 6$ or $W > 14$ or $X < 12$ or $Y > 8$ (any letter, ignore distribution) | M1 | For identifying a correct region |
| $2\times P(W<6) = 2\times\frac{6-0}{20}$ or $2\times P(W>14) = 2\times\frac{20-14}{20}$ or $P(W<6) = \frac{3}{10}$ **and** $P(W>14) = \frac{3}{10}$ or $P(X>14) = \frac{3}{5}$ or $P(Y<6) = \frac{3}{5}$ | M1 | Correct method for a required probability associated with correct distribution |
| $P(8 < W < 12) = \frac{12-8}{20}$ or $P(X<12) = \frac{12-10}{10}$ or $P(Y>8) = \frac{10-8}{10}$ | M1 | Correct method for second required probability |
| $P(\text{shortest side} < 6) = "\frac{3}{10}" + "\frac{3}{10}" + "\frac{1}{5}"$ or $"\frac{1}{5}" + "\frac{3}{5}"= \frac{4}{5}$ | dM1 | Dependent on previous 3 M marks |
| $\frac{4}{5}$ | A1 | cao |

**Alternative 1:**
| Working/Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $6 < W < 8$ or $12 < W < 14$ (any letter, ignore distribution) | M1 | Identifying correct region |
| $P(6<W<8) = \frac{8-6}{20}$ or $P(12<W<14) = \frac{14-12}{20}$ each $= \frac{1}{10}$ | M1 | Correct method for required probability |
| $2\times P(6<W<8) = 2\times\frac{1}{10}$ or $2\times P(12<W<14) = 2\times\frac{1}{10}$ | M1 | Correct method for second probability |
| $P(\text{shortest side} < 6) = 1 - "\frac{1}{10}" - "\frac{1}{10}"$ or $1 - "\frac{2}{10}" = \frac{4}{5}$ | dM1A1 | Dependent on previous 3 M marks; cao |

**Alternative 2:**
| Working/Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $W > 10$ or $12 < W < 14$ or $6 < W < 8$ or $W < 10$ (any letter) | M1 | Identifying correct region |
| $P(12<W<14) = \frac{1}{10}$ **and** $P(W>10) = \frac{1}{2}$ or $P(6<W<8) = \frac{1}{10}$ **and** $P(W<10) = \frac{1}{2}$ | M1 | Correct method for both required probabilities |
| $P(12<W<14 \mid W>10) = \frac{"\frac{1}{10}"}{"\frac{1}{2}"}\left[= \frac{1}{5}\right]$ or $P(6<W<8 \mid W<10) = \frac{"\frac{1}{10}"}{"\frac{1}{2}"}\left[= \frac{1}{5}\right]$ | M1 | Correct use of conditional probability |
| $P(\text{shortest side} < 6) = 1 - "\frac{1}{5}" = \frac{4}{5}$ | dM1A1 | Dependent on previous 3 M marks; cao |

> **NB**: Any answer of $\frac{4}{5}$ scores 5/5 provided it has not come from incorrect working.

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\begin{enumerate}
  \item (i) The continuous random variable $X$ is uniformly distributed over the interval $[ a , b ]$
\end{enumerate}

Given that $\mathrm { P } ( 5 < X < 13 ) = \frac { 1 } { 5 }$ and $\mathrm { E } ( X ) = 9$, find $\mathrm { P } ( 3 X > a + b )$\\
(ii) The continuous random variable $Y$ is uniformly distributed over the interval $[ 1 , c ]$ Given that $\operatorname { Var } ( Y ) = 0.48$, find the exact value of $\mathrm { E } \left( Y ^ { 2 } \right)$\\
(iii) A wire of length 20 cm is cut into 2 pieces at a random point.

The longest piece of wire is then cut into 2 pieces, equal in length, giving 3 pieces of wire altogether.

Find the probability that the length of the shortest piece of wire is less than 6 cm .

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S2 2022 Q7 [12]}}