| Exam Board | Edexcel |
|---|---|
| Module | S2 (Statistics 2) |
| Year | 2021 |
| Session | January |
| Marks | 10 |
| Paper | Download PDF ↗ |
| Mark scheme | Download PDF ↗ |
| Topic | Continuous Probability Distributions and Random Variables |
| Type | Find parameter from expectation |
| Difficulty | Standard +0.3 This is a standard S2 probability density function question requiring routine integration techniques: normalizing the pdf (part a), finding expectation using standard formula (part b), and verifying the median (part c). All steps follow textbook procedures with straightforward polynomial integration, making it slightly easier than average A-level difficulty. |
| Spec | 5.03a Continuous random variables: pdf and cdf5.03b Solve problems: using pdf5.03c Calculate mean/variance: by integration5.03f Relate pdf-cdf: medians and percentiles |
| VIXV SIHIANI III IM IONOO | VIAV SIHI NI JYHAM ION OO | VI4V SIHI NI JLIYM ION OO |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
| \(\int_0^a k(a-x)^2\,dx = \left[k\left(a^2x - ax^2 + \frac{x^3}{3}\right)\right]_0^a\) or \(\left[\frac{-k(a-x)^3}{3}\right]_0^a\) | M1 A1 | Integrating \(f(x)\) at least 1 term correct. For M1 allow \(\frac{\pm k(a-x)^3}{3}\); A1 correct integration (ignore limits) |
| \(k\left(a^3 - a^3 + \frac{a^3}{3}\right) = 1\) or \(\frac{ka^3}{3} = 1 \Rightarrow ka^3 = 3\) | A1 cso | Substitute limits and equate to 1 to form one expression in terms of \(k\) and \(a\) leading to \(ka^3=3\) |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
| \(\int_0^a kx(a-x)^2\,dx = \left[k\left(\frac{a^2x^2}{2} - \frac{2ax^3}{3} + \frac{x^4}{4}\right)\right]_0^a\) or \(\left[\frac{-kx(a-x)^3}{3} + \frac{k(a-x)^4}{12}\right]_0^a\) | M1 A1 | Indicating they are integrating \(xf(x)\) with an attempt at integrating \(x^n \to x^{n+1}\); A1 correct integration |
| \(k\left(\frac{a^2 \cdot a^2}{2} - \frac{2a \cdot a^3}{3} + \frac{a^4}{4}\right) = 1.5\) or \(\frac{ka^4}{12} = 1.5\) or \(ka^4 = 18\) oe | dM1 | (dep on previous M1). Substitute limits and equate to 1.5 to form a 2nd expression in terms of \(k\) and \(a\) |
| \(\frac{ka^4}{ka^3} = 6\) or \(\frac{18}{3} = 6\) \([\therefore a=6]\) | A1cso | Correct method shown to solve their 2 equations to eliminate \(k\) and show \(a=6\) |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
| \(F(x) = \frac{1}{72}\left(36x - 6x^2 + \frac{x^3}{3}\right)\), \(\frac{1}{72}\left(36x - 6x^2 + \frac{x^3}{3}\right) = 0.5\) oe | M1 | Finding correct \(F(x)\). Allow \(F(x) = 1 - \frac{(6-x)^3}{216}\) but \(F(x) = \frac{(6-x)^3}{216}\) is M0; allow in terms of \(k\) |
| \(F(1.15)(= 0.47\ldots)\) and \(F(1.25)(= 0.5038\ldots)\), \(1.2377\ldots\) | M1 | For attempting their \(F(1.15)\) and their \(F(1.25)\) or a suitable tighter interval or for 'solving' cubic leading to a value awrt 1.24 |
| \(F(1.15) = \text{awrt } 0.47\), \(F(1.25) = \text{awrt } 0.504\); \((0.47(18\ldots) < 0.5 < 0.503(8\ldots))\) therefore the median is 1.2 to 1 decimal place | A1 | Both correct values and correct conclusion (allow \(x=1.2\)) or awrt 1.24 and correct conclusion (allow \(x=1.2\)). Allow change of sign argument if they have subtracted 0.5 |
# Question 4:
## Part (a):
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $\int_0^a k(a-x)^2\,dx = \left[k\left(a^2x - ax^2 + \frac{x^3}{3}\right)\right]_0^a$ or $\left[\frac{-k(a-x)^3}{3}\right]_0^a$ | M1 A1 | Integrating $f(x)$ at least 1 term correct. For M1 allow $\frac{\pm k(a-x)^3}{3}$; A1 correct integration (ignore limits) |
| $k\left(a^3 - a^3 + \frac{a^3}{3}\right) = 1$ or $\frac{ka^3}{3} = 1 \Rightarrow ka^3 = 3$ | A1 cso | Substitute limits and equate to 1 to form one expression in terms of $k$ and $a$ leading to $ka^3=3$ |
## Part (b):
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $\int_0^a kx(a-x)^2\,dx = \left[k\left(\frac{a^2x^2}{2} - \frac{2ax^3}{3} + \frac{x^4}{4}\right)\right]_0^a$ or $\left[\frac{-kx(a-x)^3}{3} + \frac{k(a-x)^4}{12}\right]_0^a$ | M1 A1 | Indicating they are integrating $xf(x)$ with an attempt at integrating $x^n \to x^{n+1}$; A1 correct integration |
| $k\left(\frac{a^2 \cdot a^2}{2} - \frac{2a \cdot a^3}{3} + \frac{a^4}{4}\right) = 1.5$ or $\frac{ka^4}{12} = 1.5$ or $ka^4 = 18$ oe | dM1 | (dep on previous M1). Substitute limits and equate to 1.5 to form a 2nd expression in terms of $k$ and $a$ |
| $\frac{ka^4}{ka^3} = 6$ or $\frac{18}{3} = 6$ $[\therefore a=6]$ | A1cso | Correct method shown to solve their 2 equations to eliminate $k$ and show $a=6$ |
## Part (c):
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $F(x) = \frac{1}{72}\left(36x - 6x^2 + \frac{x^3}{3}\right)$, $\frac{1}{72}\left(36x - 6x^2 + \frac{x^3}{3}\right) = 0.5$ oe | M1 | Finding correct $F(x)$. Allow $F(x) = 1 - \frac{(6-x)^3}{216}$ but $F(x) = \frac{(6-x)^3}{216}$ is M0; allow in terms of $k$ |
| $F(1.15)(= 0.47\ldots)$ and $F(1.25)(= 0.5038\ldots)$, $1.2377\ldots$ | M1 | For attempting their $F(1.15)$ and their $F(1.25)$ or a suitable tighter interval or for 'solving' cubic leading to a value awrt 1.24 |
| $F(1.15) = \text{awrt } 0.47$, $F(1.25) = \text{awrt } 0.504$; $(0.47(18\ldots) < 0.5 < 0.503(8\ldots))$ therefore the median is **1.2** to 1 decimal place | A1 | Both correct values and correct conclusion (allow $x=1.2$) or awrt 1.24 and correct conclusion (allow $x=1.2$). Allow change of sign argument if they have subtracted 0.5 |
---
4. A continuous random variable $X$ has probability density function
$$\mathrm { f } ( x ) = \left\{ \begin{array} { c c }
k ( a - x ) ^ { 2 } & 0 \leqslant x \leqslant a \\
0 & \text { otherwise }
\end{array} \right.$$
where $k$ and $a$ are constants.
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Show that $k a ^ { 3 } = 3$
Given that $\mathrm { E } ( X ) = 1.5$
\item use algebraic integration to show that $a = 6$
\item Verify that the median of $X$ is 1.2 to one decimal place.\\
\includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{f63c39df-cfc9-4a6b-838d-67613710b0ce-15_2255_50_314_34}\\
\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{|l|l|l|}
\hline
VIXV SIHIANI III IM IONOO & VIAV SIHI NI JYHAM ION OO & VI4V SIHI NI JLIYM ION OO \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}
\end{enumerate}
\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S2 2021 Q4 [10]}}