Edexcel S2 2019 January — Question 6

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2019
SessionJanuary
TopicApproximating the Binomial to the Poisson distribution
TypeState conditions for Poisson approximation

  1. (i) (a) State the conditions under which the Poisson distribution may be used as an approximation to the binomial distribution.
A factory produces tyres for bicycles and \(0.25 \%\) of the tyres produced are defective. A company orders 3000 tyres from the factory.
(b) Find, using a Poisson approximation, the probability that there are more than 7 defective tyres in the company’s order.
(ii) At the company \(40 \%\) of employees are known to cycle to work. A random sample of 150 employees is taken. The random variable \(C\) represents the number of employees in the sample who cycle to work.
(a) Describe a suitable sampling frame that can be used to take this sample.
(b) Explain what you understand by the sampling distribution of \(C\) Louis uses a normal approximation to calculate the probability that at most \(\alpha\) employees in the sample cycle to work. He forgets to use a continuity correction and obtains the incorrect probability 0.0668 Find, showing all stages of your working,
(c) the value of \(\alpha\)
(d) the correct probability.