Edexcel S1 2013 June — Question 1 10 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2013
SessionJune
Marks10
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicLinear regression
TypeConvert regression equation between coded and original
DifficultyModerate -0.8 This is a routine S1 regression question requiring standard formula application (b = S_xy/S_xx, a = ȳ - bx̄) and algebraic substitution to convert between coded and original variables. The steps are mechanical and well-practiced, making it easier than average A-level material.
Spec2.04a Discrete probability distributions5.09c Calculate regression line5.09d Linear coding: effect on regression

  1. Sammy is studying the number of units of gas, \(g\), and the number of units of electricity, \(e\), used in her house each week. A random sample of 10 weeks use was recorded and the data for each week were coded so that \(x = \frac { g - 60 } { 4 }\) and \(y = \frac { e } { 10 }\). The results for the coded data are summarised below
$$\sum x = 48.0 \quad \sum y = 58.0 \quad \mathrm {~S} _ { x x } = 312.1 \quad \mathrm {~S} _ { y y } = 2.10 \quad \mathrm {~S} _ { x y } = 18.35$$
  1. Find the equation of the regression line of \(y\) on \(x\) in the form \(y = a + b x\). Give the values of \(a\) and \(b\) correct to 3 significant figures.
  2. Hence find the equation of the regression line of \(e\) on \(g\) in the form \(e = c + d g\). Give the values of \(c\) and \(d\) correct to 2 significant figures.
  3. Use your regression equation to estimate the number of units of electricity used in a week when 100 units of gas were used.
  4. Find the probability distribution of \(X\) .
  5. Write down the value of \(\mathrm { F } ( 1.8 )\) .
  6. Find the probability distribution of \(X\) .勤

AnswerMarks Guidance
(a) \(b = \frac{18.35}{312.1} = 0.058795...\), \(a = 5.8 - "0.058795..." \times 4.8 = \text{awrt } 5.52\), So \(y = 5.52 + 0.0588x\)M1, M1, A1, A1 (4)
(b) \(\frac{e}{10} = "5.52" + "0.0588" \times \left(\frac{g-60}{4}\right)\), \(4e = 220.71 + 0.588(g-60)\), \(e = 46 + 0.15g\)M1, dM1, A1, A1 (4)
(c) \(e = "46" + "0.15" \times 100 = 61\)M1, A1 (2)
ALT 1st M1 for use of \(d = \frac{10 \times "their b"}{"}\) or sight of 0.15 used as gradient; 2nd dM1 Dep. on 1st M1 for use of \(\bar{e} = 10 \times "their \)\bar{y}\(" or sight of 58 and use of \)\bar{g} = 4 \times "their \(\bar{x}\)" + 60\( or sight of 79.2 and use of these values to find \)c\( in \)c = \bar{e} - d\bar{g}$
**(a)** $b = \frac{18.35}{312.1} = 0.058795...$, $a = 5.8 - "0.058795..." \times 4.8 = \text{awrt } 5.52$, So $y = 5.52 + 0.0588x$ | M1, M1, A1, A1 | (4) | 1st M1 for correct expression for $b$; 2nd M1 for correct expression for $a$ – fit their value of $b$; 1st A1 for $a = \text{awrt } 5.52$; 2nd A1 for correct equation in $y$ and $x$ with $a$ and $b$ correct to awrt 3 sf

**(b)** $\frac{e}{10} = "5.52" + "0.0588" \times \left(\frac{g-60}{4}\right)$, $4e = 220.71 + 0.588(g-60)$, $e = 46 + 0.15g$ | M1, dM1, A1, A1 | (4) | 1st M1 for substitutions into their equation to get equation in $e$ and $g$. Need $y = \frac{e}{10}$ and $x = \frac{g-60}{4}$; 2nd dM1 Dep. on 1st M1 for attempt to simplify (at least removing fractions). Allow one slip. 1st A1 for equation $e = \text{awrt } 46 + ...$; 2nd A1 for equation $e = \text{awrt } 46 + \text{awrt } 0.15g$

**(c)** $e = "46" + "0.15" \times 100 = 61$ | M1, A1 | (2) | M1 for substituting $g = 100$ into their new equation (or $x = 10$ and then attempting to $\times$ ans. by 10); A1 for awrt 61

**ALT** 1st M1 for use of $d = \frac{10 \times "their b"}{"}$ or sight of 0.15 used as gradient; 2nd dM1 Dep. on 1st M1 for use of $\bar{e} = 10 \times "their $\bar{y}$" or sight of 58 and use of $\bar{g} = 4 \times "their $\bar{x}$" + 60$ or sight of 79.2 and use of these values to find $c$ in $c = \bar{e} - d\bar{g}$

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\begin{enumerate}
  \item Sammy is studying the number of units of gas, $g$, and the number of units of electricity, $e$, used in her house each week. A random sample of 10 weeks use was recorded and the data for each week were coded so that $x = \frac { g - 60 } { 4 }$ and $y = \frac { e } { 10 }$. The results for the coded data are summarised below
\end{enumerate}

$$\sum x = 48.0 \quad \sum y = 58.0 \quad \mathrm {~S} _ { x x } = 312.1 \quad \mathrm {~S} _ { y y } = 2.10 \quad \mathrm {~S} _ { x y } = 18.35$$

(a) Find the equation of the regression line of $y$ on $x$ in the form $y = a + b x$.

Give the values of $a$ and $b$ correct to 3 significant figures.\\
(b) Hence find the equation of the regression line of $e$ on $g$ in the form $e = c + d g$.

Give the values of $c$ and $d$ correct to 2 significant figures.\\
(c) Use your regression equation to estimate the number of units of electricity used in a week when 100 units of gas were used.\\

(a)Find the probability distribution of $X$ .\\
(b)Write down the value of $\mathrm { F } ( 1.8 )$ .\\
(a)Find the probability distribution of $X$ .勤

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S1 2013 Q1 [10]}}