OCR Further Statistics AS 2018 June — Question 8 9 marks

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleFurther Statistics AS (Further Statistics AS)
Year2018
SessionJune
Marks9
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicChi-squared goodness of fit
TypeChi-squared with algebraic frequencies
DifficultyChallenging +1.2 This is a chi-squared goodness of fit test with a twist - finding the range of y values that lead to rejection. It requires understanding of uniform distribution probabilities, calculating expected frequencies (8, 4, 8 from U(20)), setting up the chi-squared statistic as a function of y, and solving inequalities against the critical value. More challenging than routine chi-squared tests due to the algebraic manipulation required, but still a standard Further Maths technique.
Spec5.06b Fit prescribed distribution: chi-squared test

8 The table shows the results of a random sample drawn from a population which is thought to have the distribution \(\mathrm { U } ( 20 )\).
Range\(1 \leqslant x \leqslant 8\)\(9 \leqslant x \leqslant 12\)\(13 \leqslant x \leqslant 20\)
Observed frequency12\(y\)\(28 - y\)
Find the range of values of \(y\) for which the data are not consistent with the distribution at the \(5 \%\) significance level. \section*{END OF QUESTION PAPER}

Question 8:
AnswerMarks Guidance
Expected frequency16 8
\(\displaystyle\sum\frac{(O-E)^2}{E}\): \(\dfrac{4^2}{16}\ \bigg\ \dfrac{(y-8)^2}{8}\ \bigg \ \dfrac{(12-y)^2}{16}\)
\(X^2 > 5.991 \Rightarrow\)
\(1 + \dfrac{(y-8)^2}{8} + \dfrac{(12-y)^2}{16} > 5.991\)
\(\Rightarrow 3y^2 - 56y + 192.144 > 0\)
Critical values \(4.53\) and \(14.14\)
AnswerMarks Guidance
\((0 \leq)\ y \leq 4\) or \(15 \leq y \leq 28\)M1 A1 M1* depM1 B1 M1 M1 A2 [9] M1: Method for expected frequencies. A1: Expected frequencies all correct. M1*: Use \(\displaystyle\sum\frac{(O-E)^2}{E}\). depM1: \(X^2 >\) CV. B1: Correct CV, ft on cells combined; 8+4+8: 3.841 (not 5.991). M1: Simplified 3-term quadratic. M1: Solve quadratic to obtain CVs (can be implied). A2: www. One number wrong or omitted: A1. Ignore \(0 \leq y\). Use of cc (Yates?) loses A marks only. SC: 8+4+8: M0A0 M1M1B1 M1M1A0A0
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## Question 8:

| Expected frequency | 16 | 8 | 16 |

$\displaystyle\sum\frac{(O-E)^2}{E}$: $\dfrac{4^2}{16}\ \bigg|\ \dfrac{(y-8)^2}{8}\ \bigg|\ \dfrac{(12-y)^2}{16}$

$X^2 > 5.991 \Rightarrow$

$1 + \dfrac{(y-8)^2}{8} + \dfrac{(12-y)^2}{16} > 5.991$

$\Rightarrow 3y^2 - 56y + 192.144 > 0$

Critical values $4.53$ and $14.14$

$(0 \leq)\ y \leq 4$ or $15 \leq y \leq 28$ | **M1** A1 M1* depM1 B1 M1 M1 A2 [9] | M1: Method for expected frequencies. A1: Expected frequencies all correct. M1*: Use $\displaystyle\sum\frac{(O-E)^2}{E}$. depM1: $X^2 >$ CV. B1: Correct CV, ft on cells combined; 8+4+8: 3.841 (not 5.991). M1: Simplified 3-term quadratic. M1: Solve quadratic to obtain CVs (can be implied). A2: www. One number wrong or omitted: A1. Ignore $0 \leq y$. Use of cc (Yates?) loses A marks only. SC: 8+4+8: M0A0 M1M1B1 M1M1A0A0

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8 The table shows the results of a random sample drawn from a population which is thought to have the distribution $\mathrm { U } ( 20 )$.

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ | c | c | c | c | }
\hline
Range & $1 \leqslant x \leqslant 8$ & $9 \leqslant x \leqslant 12$ & $13 \leqslant x \leqslant 20$ \\
\hline
Observed frequency & 12 & $y$ & $28 - y$ \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

Find the range of values of $y$ for which the data are not consistent with the distribution at the $5 \%$ significance level.

\section*{END OF QUESTION PAPER}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR Further Statistics AS 2018 Q8 [9]}}