OCR MEI Paper 3 2021 November — Question 5 8 marks

Exam BoardOCR MEI
ModulePaper 3 (Paper 3)
Year2021
SessionNovember
Marks8
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicExponential Functions
TypeExponential growth/decay model setup
DifficultyModerate -0.8 This question involves routine sketching of dy/dx for e^x (which is just e^x again), basic interpretation of exponential models, and straightforward substitution to find constants A and k. The conceptual demand is low—recognizing that dy/dx = e^x and substituting two data points into y = Ae^(kt) are standard textbook exercises. The reasoning parts require only simple biological common sense (exponential growth assumptions, carrying capacity limitations). No novel problem-solving or multi-step integration of techniques is required.
Spec1.06i Exponential growth/decay: in modelling context1.07b Gradient as rate of change: dy/dx notation

5
  1. The diagram shows the curve \(\mathrm { y } = \mathrm { e } ^ { \mathrm { x } }\). \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{a0d9573f-8273-4562-a2d3-07f15d9da1af-5_574_682_315_328} On the axes in the Printed Answer Booklet, sketch graphs of
    1. \(\frac { \mathrm { dy } } { \mathrm { dx } }\) against \(x\),
    2. \(\frac { \mathrm { dy } } { \mathrm { dx } }\) against \(y\).
  2. Wolves were introduced to Yellowstone National Park in 1995. The population of wolves, \(y\), is modelled by the equation \(y = A e ^ { k t }\),
    where \(A\) and \(k\) are constants and \(t\) is the number of years after 1995.
    1. Give a reason why this model might be suitable for the population of wolves.
    2. When \(t = 0 , y = 21\) and when \(t = 1 , y = 51\). Find values of \(A\) and \(k\) consistent with the data.
    3. Give a reason why the model will not be a good predictor of wolf populations many years after 1995.

Question 5:
Part (a)(i):
AnswerMarks
[Graph: \(\frac{dy}{dx}\) vs \(x\), curve in first quadrant approaching from bottom left, increasing, asymptotic shape]B1 (1.2)
[1 mark]
Part (a)(ii):
AnswerMarks Guidance
[Graph: \(\frac{dy}{dx}\) vs \(y\), straight line with positive gradient through origin, first quadrant only]M1 (2.2a) Straight line (+ve gradient) through origin (may stop short of origin)
A1 (2.2a)First quadrant only
[3 marks]
Part (b)(i):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Suitable reason e.g.: reasonable to assume population growth is proportional to population; populations are often modelled by exponential growthE1 (3.3) Allow e.g. wolves give birth to more wolves than they started with; Do not allow e.g. population is proportional to time
[1 mark]
Part (b)(ii):
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(A = 21\)B1 (3.4)
\(51 = 21e^k\)M1 (3.4)
\(k = \ln\left(\frac{51}{21}\right) = \ln\left(\frac{17}{7}\right) \approx 0.887\) or betterA1 (1.1) Allow 0.89
[3 marks]
Part (b)(iii):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Suitable reason e.g.: population cannot keep growing; the wolves will run out of food if the population gets too bigE1 (3.5b) Allow e.g. lack of resources or deforestation
[1 mark]
## Question 5:

**Part (a)(i):**
[Graph: $\frac{dy}{dx}$ vs $x$, curve in first quadrant approaching from bottom left, increasing, asymptotic shape] | B1 (1.2) |
[1 mark]

**Part (a)(ii):**
[Graph: $\frac{dy}{dx}$ vs $y$, straight line with positive gradient through origin, first quadrant only] | M1 (2.2a) | Straight line (+ve gradient) through origin (may stop short of origin)
| A1 (2.2a) | First quadrant only
[3 marks]

**Part (b)(i):**
Suitable reason e.g.: reasonable to assume population growth is proportional to population; populations are often modelled by exponential growth | E1 (3.3) | Allow e.g. wolves give birth to more wolves than they started with; Do not allow e.g. population is proportional to time
[1 mark]

**Part (b)(ii):**
$A = 21$ | B1 (3.4) |
$51 = 21e^k$ | M1 (3.4) |
$k = \ln\left(\frac{51}{21}\right) = \ln\left(\frac{17}{7}\right) \approx 0.887$ or better | A1 (1.1) | Allow 0.89
[3 marks]

**Part (b)(iii):**
Suitable reason e.g.: population cannot keep growing; the wolves will run out of food if the population gets too big | E1 (3.5b) | Allow e.g. lack of resources or deforestation
[1 mark]

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5
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item The diagram shows the curve $\mathrm { y } = \mathrm { e } ^ { \mathrm { x } }$.\\
\includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{a0d9573f-8273-4562-a2d3-07f15d9da1af-5_574_682_315_328}

On the axes in the Printed Answer Booklet, sketch graphs of
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item $\frac { \mathrm { dy } } { \mathrm { dx } }$ against $x$,
\item $\frac { \mathrm { dy } } { \mathrm { dx } }$ against $y$.
\end{enumerate}\item Wolves were introduced to Yellowstone National Park in 1995.

The population of wolves, $y$, is modelled by the equation\\
$y = A e ^ { k t }$,\\
where $A$ and $k$ are constants and $t$ is the number of years after 1995.
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item Give a reason why this model might be suitable for the population of wolves.
\item When $t = 0 , y = 21$ and when $t = 1 , y = 51$.

Find values of $A$ and $k$ consistent with the data.
\item Give a reason why the model will not be a good predictor of wolf populations many years after 1995.
\end{enumerate}\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR MEI Paper 3 2021 Q5 [8]}}