11 The pre-release material contains information about the Median Income of Taxpayers and the Percentage of Pupils Achieving at Least 5 A*- C grades, including English and Maths, at the end of KS4 in different areas of London.
Alex is investigating whether there is a relationship between median income and the percentage of pupils achieving at least 5 A* - C grades, including English and Maths, at the end of KS4. Alex decides to use the first 12 rows of data for 2014-5 from the pre-release data as a sample. The sample is shown in Fig. 11.1.
\begin{table}[h]
| Area | Median Income of Taxpayers | Percentage of Pupils Achieving at Least 5 A*- C grades including English and Maths |
| City of London | 61100 | \#N/A |
| Barking and Dagenham | 21800 | 54.0 |
| Barnet | 27100 | 70.1 |
| Bexley | 24400 | 55.0 |
| Brent | 22700 | 60.0 |
| Bromley | 28100 | 68.0 |
| Camden | 33100 | 56.4 |
| Croydon | 25100 | 59.6 |
| Ealing | 24600 | 62.1 |
| Enfield | 25300 | 54.5 |
| Greenwich | 24600 | 57.7 |
| Hackney | 26000 | 60.4 |
\captionsetup{labelformat=empty}
\caption{Fig. 11.1}
\end{table}
- Explain whether the data in Fig. 11.1 is a simple random sample of the data for 2014-5.
- The City of London is included in Alex's sample.
Explain why Alex is not able to use the data for the City of London in this investigation.
\begin{figure}[h]
\captionsetup{labelformat=empty}
\caption{Fig. 11.2 shows a scatter diagram showing Percentage of Pupils against Median Income for all of the areas of London for which data is available.}
\includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{e0b502a8-c742-4d78-993c-8c0c7329ec9c-09_716_1378_356_244}
\end{figure}
Fig. 11.2
Alex identifies some outliers. - On the copy of Fig. 11.2 in the Printed Answer Booklet, ring three of these outliers.
Alex then discards all the outliers and uses the LINEST function on a spreadsheet to obtain the following model.
\(\mathrm { P } = 0.0009049 \mathrm { M } + 37.38\),
where \(P =\) percentage of pupils and \(M =\) median income. - Show that the model is a good fit for the data for Hackney.
- Use the model to find an estimate of the value of \(P\) for City of London.
- Give two reasons why this estimate may not be reliable.
Alex states that more than 50\% of the pupils in London achieved at least a grade C at the end of KS4 in English and Maths in 2014-5.
- Use the information in Fig. 11.2 together with your knowledge of the pre-release material to explain whether there is evidence to support this statement.