Edexcel Paper 3 2021 October — Question 3 8 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModulePaper 3 (Paper 3)
Year2021
SessionOctober
Marks8
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicMeasures of Location and Spread
TypeCalculate mean from coded sums
DifficultyEasy -1.2 This is a straightforward application of coding formulas for mean and standard deviation with minimal computational complexity. Parts (a)-(c) are routine recall and substitution into standard formulas (mean = Σy/n + 1010, SD uses standard coded formula). Part (d) requires knowledge of the large data set and basic geography but is not mathematically demanding. The question is easier than average A-level statistics questions as it involves direct formula application with no problem-solving or interpretation challenges.
Spec2.01d Select/critique sampling: in context2.02g Calculate mean and standard deviation

  1. Stav is studying the large data set for September 2015
He codes the variable Daily Mean Pressure, \(x\), using the formula \(y = x - 1010\) The data for all 30 days from Hurn are summarised by $$\sum y = 214 \quad \sum y ^ { 2 } = 5912$$
  1. State the units of the variable \(x\)
  2. Find the mean Daily Mean Pressure for these 30 days.
  3. Find the standard deviation of Daily Mean Pressure for these 30 days. Stav knows that, in the UK, winds circulate
    • in a clockwise direction around a region of high pressure
    • in an anticlockwise direction around a region of low pressure
    The table gives the Daily Mean Pressure for 3 locations from the large data set on 26/09/2015
    LocationHeathrowHurnLeuchars
    Daily Mean Pressure102910281028
    Cardinal Wind Direction
    The Cardinal Wind Directions for these 3 locations on 26/09/2015 were, in random order, $$\begin{array} { l l l } W & N E & E \end{array}$$ You may assume that these 3 locations were under a single region of pressure.
  4. Using your knowledge of the large data set, place each of these Cardinal Wind Directions in the correct location in the table.
    Give a reason for your answer. \section*{Question 3 continued.}

AnswerMarks Guidance
PartAnswer/Working Marks
(a)Hectopascal or hPa B1
(b)\(\bar{x} = \bar{y} + 1010\) or \(\frac{214}{30} + 1010\) M1
\(= 1017.1333...\) awrt \(\mathbf{1017}\)A1 A1 for awrt 1017 (accept 1020) [Ignore incorrect units]
(c)\(\sigma_x = \sigma_y\) (or statement that standard deviation is not affected by this type of coding) M1
\([\sigma_y] = \sqrt{\frac{5912}{30} - ("7.13[33...]")^2}\) or \(\sqrt{146.1822...}\)M1 2nd M1 for a correct expression (with \(\sqrt{}\))(ft their \(\bar{y}\) to 3sf) allow awrt 146 for 146.1822... or for correct expression in \(x\) can ft their \(\sum x > 30 \text{ 000}\) or their answer to (b)
\(= 12.0905...\) awrt \(\mathbf{12.1}\)A1 A1 (dep on 2nd M1) for awrt 12.1 [Ignore incorrect units]
(d)High pressure (since approx. mean + sd) so clockwise. Locations are (from North to South): Leuchars, Heathrow, Hurn. Wind direction is direction wind blows from. So: Heathrow (NE) Hurn (E) Leuchars (W) B1, B1
FYI Notes:
AnswerMarks
ItemNote
1 hPa = 100 Pa; 10hPa = 1 kPa; 1Pa = 1 Nm⁻²
(a)B1 for "hectopascal" or hPa (condone pascals, allow millibars or mb) o.e. Do NOT allow kPa or kilopascals or Pa on its own
(b)M1 for a strategy to find \(\bar{x}\). Allow an attempt to find \(\sum x\) that gets as far as \(\sum x = \sum y - 30 \times 1010 = [30 \text{ 514}]\). A1 for awrt 1017 (accept 1020) [Ignore incorrect units]
(c)1st M1 for an overall strategy using the fact \(\sigma_x = \sigma_y\) (can be implied by correct final ans) or for \(\sum x = 30 \text{ 514}\) and \(\sum x^2 = 31 \text{ 041192}\) (both seen and correct). 2nd M1 for a correct expression (with \(\sqrt{}\))(ft their \(\bar{y}\) to 3sf) allow awrt 146 for 146.1822... or for correct expression in \(x\) can ft their \(\sum x > 30 \text{ 000}\) or their answer to (b). A1 (dep on 2nd M1) for awrt 12.1 [Ignore incorrect units]. Final ans of awrt 12.1 scores 3/3 but if they then adjust for \(x\) e.g. add 1010 (M0M1A1)
(d)1st B1 for at least one of these reasons (these 2 lines) clearly stated (may see diagram). Need "high pressure" and "clockwise" to score on 1st line. Contradictory statements B0 e.g. correct N~S list but say "anticlockwise". 2nd B1 (indep of 1st B1) for deducing the 3 correct directions either in the table or stated as above. If the answers in table and text are different we take the table (as question says).
| Part | Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|------|---|---|---|
| (a) | Hectopascal or hPa | B1 | B1 for "hectopascal" or hPa (condone pascals, allow millibars or mb) o.e. **Do NOT allow** kPa or kilopascals or Pa on its own |
| (b) | $\bar{x} = \bar{y} + 1010$ or $\frac{214}{30} + 1010$ | M1 | M1 for a strategy to find $\bar{x}$ Allow an attempt to find $\sum x$ that gets as far as $\sum x = \sum y - 30 \times 1010 = [30 \text{ 514}]$ |
| | $= 1017.1333...$ awrt $\mathbf{1017}$ | A1 | A1 for awrt 1017 (accept 1020) [Ignore incorrect units] |
| (c) | $\sigma_x = \sigma_y$ (or statement that standard deviation is not affected by this type of coding) | M1 | 1st M1 for an overall strategy using the fact $\sigma_x = \sigma_y$ (can be implied by correct **final ans**) or for $\sum x = 30 \text{ 514}$ and $\sum x^2 = 31 \text{ 041192}$ (both seen and correct) |
| | $[\sigma_y] = \sqrt{\frac{5912}{30} - ("7.13[33...]")^2}$ or $\sqrt{146.1822...}$ | M1 | 2nd M1 for a correct expression (with $\sqrt{}$)(ft their $\bar{y}$ to 3sf) allow awrt 146 for 146.1822... or for correct expression in $x$ can ft their $\sum x > 30 \text{ 000}$ or their answer to (b) |
| | $= 12.0905...$ awrt $\mathbf{12.1}$ | A1 | A1 (dep on 2nd M1) for awrt 12.1 [Ignore incorrect units] |
| (d) | High pressure (since approx. mean + sd) so clockwise. Locations are (from North to South): Leuchars, Heathrow, Hurn. Wind direction is direction wind blows **from**. So: Heathrow (NE) Hurn (E) Leuchars (W) | B1, B1 | 1st B1 for at least one of these reasons (these 2 lines) clearly stated (may see diagram). Need "high pressure" and "clockwise" to score on 1st line. Contradictory statements B0 e.g. correct N~S list but say "anticlockwise". 2nd B1 (indep of 1st B1) for deducing the 3 correct directions either in the table or stated as above. If the answers in table and text are different we take the table (as question says). |

**FYI Notes:**

| Item | Note |
|------|------|
| 1 hPa = 100 Pa; 10hPa = 1 kPa; 1Pa = 1 Nm⁻² | |
| (a) | B1 for "hectopascal" or hPa (condone pascals, allow millibars or mb) o.e. Do NOT allow kPa or kilopascals or Pa on its own |
| (b) | M1 for a strategy to find $\bar{x}$. Allow an attempt to find $\sum x$ that gets as far as $\sum x = \sum y - 30 \times 1010 = [30 \text{ 514}]$. A1 for awrt 1017 (accept 1020) [Ignore incorrect units] |
| (c) | 1st M1 for an overall strategy using the fact $\sigma_x = \sigma_y$ (can be implied by correct final ans) or for $\sum x = 30 \text{ 514}$ and $\sum x^2 = 31 \text{ 041192}$ (both seen and correct). 2nd M1 for a correct expression (with $\sqrt{}$)(ft their $\bar{y}$ to 3sf) allow awrt 146 for 146.1822... or for correct expression in $x$ can ft their $\sum x > 30 \text{ 000}$ or their answer to (b). A1 (dep on 2nd M1) for awrt 12.1 [Ignore incorrect units]. **Final ans of awrt 12.1 scores 3/3 but if they then adjust for $x$ e.g. add 1010 (M0M1A1)** |
| (d) | 1st B1 for at least one of these reasons (these 2 lines) clearly stated (may see diagram). Need "high pressure" and "clockwise" to score on 1st line. Contradictory statements B0 e.g. correct N~S list but say "anticlockwise". 2nd B1 (indep of 1st B1) for deducing the 3 correct directions either in the table or stated as above. If the answers in table and text are different we take the table (as question says). |
\begin{enumerate}
  \item Stav is studying the large data set for September 2015
\end{enumerate}

He codes the variable Daily Mean Pressure, $x$, using the formula $y = x - 1010$\\
The data for all 30 days from Hurn are summarised by

$$\sum y = 214 \quad \sum y ^ { 2 } = 5912$$

(a) State the units of the variable $x$\\
(b) Find the mean Daily Mean Pressure for these 30 days.\\
(c) Find the standard deviation of Daily Mean Pressure for these 30 days.

Stav knows that, in the UK, winds circulate

\begin{itemize}
  \item in a clockwise direction around a region of high pressure
  \item in an anticlockwise direction around a region of low pressure
\end{itemize}

The table gives the Daily Mean Pressure for 3 locations from the large data set on 26/09/2015

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{|l|l|l|l|}
\hline
Location & Heathrow & Hurn & Leuchars \\
\hline
Daily Mean Pressure & 1029 & 1028 & 1028 \\
\hline
Cardinal Wind Direction &  &  &  \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

The Cardinal Wind Directions for these 3 locations on 26/09/2015 were, in random order,

$$\begin{array} { l l l } 
W & N E & E
\end{array}$$

You may assume that these 3 locations were under a single region of pressure.\\
(d) Using your knowledge of the large data set, place each of these Cardinal Wind Directions in the correct location in the table.\\
Give a reason for your answer.

\section*{Question 3 continued.}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel Paper 3 2021 Q3 [8]}}