Edexcel Paper 3 2021 October — Question 2 6 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModulePaper 3 (Paper 3)
Year2021
SessionOctober
Marks6
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicHypothesis test of Pearson’s product-moment correlation coefficient
TypeDescribe correlation from scatter diagram
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a straightforward hypothesis testing question on correlation that follows a standard template. Parts (a) and (b) require basic interpretation of a scatter diagram, part (c) is calculator work, and part (d) is a routine one-tailed hypothesis test with clearly defined steps. While it's a Further Maths Statistics topic, the execution is mechanical with no novel problem-solving required, making it slightly easier than average overall.
Spec2.02d Informal interpretation of correlation2.05g Hypothesis test using Pearson's r

  1. Marc took a random sample of 16 students from a school and for each student recorded
  • the number of letters, \(x\), in their last name
  • the number of letters, \(y\), in their first name
His results are shown in the scatter diagram on the next page.
  1. Describe the correlation between \(x\) and \(y\). Marc suggests that parents with long last names tend to give their children shorter first names.
  2. Using the scatter diagram comment on Marc's suggestion, giving a reason for your answer. The results from Marc's random sample of 16 observations are given in the table below.
    \(x\)368753113454971066
    \(y\)7744685584745563
  3. Use your calculator to find the product moment correlation coefficient between \(x\) and \(y\) for these data.
  4. Test whether or not there is evidence of a negative correlation between the number of letters in the last name and the number of letters in the first name. You should
    • state your hypotheses clearly
    • use a \(5 \%\) level of significance
    \section*{Question 2 continued.}
    \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}]{10736735-3050-43eb-9e76-011ca6fa48b8-05_1125_1337_294_372}
    \section*{Question 2 continued.} \section*{Question 2 continued.}

AnswerMarks Guidance
PartAnswer/Working Marks
(a)Negative B1
(b)Marc's suggestion is compatible because it's negative correlation B1
(c)\((r =) -0.54458266...\) awrt \(\mathbf{-0.545}\) B1
(d)\(H_0: \rho = 0\) \(H_1: \rho < 0\) B1
\([5\% \text{ 1-tail cv} =] (\pm) 0.4259\) (significant result / reject \(H_0\)) There is evidence of negative correlation between the number of letters in (or length of) a student's last name and their first nameM1, A1 M1 for a critical value compatible with their \(H_1\): 1-tail: awrt \(\pm 0.426\) (condone \(\pm 0.425\)) or 2-tail (B0 scored for \(H_1\)) : awrt \(\pm 0.497\). If hypotheses are in words and can deduce whether one or two-tail then use their words. If no hypotheses or their \(H_1\) is not clearly one or two tail assume one-tail. A1 for compatible signs between cv and \(r\) and a correct conclusion in context mentioning correlation and number of letters or length and name (if their value from (c)). Do NOT award this A mark if contradictory statements or working seen e.g. "accept \(H_0\)" or comparison of 0.426 with significance level of 0.05 etc.
| Part | Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|------|---|---|---|
| (a) | Negative | B1 | B1 for "negative". Allow "slight" or "weak" etc. Allow a description e.g. "as $x$ increases $y$ decreases" or in context e.g. "people with longer last names tend to have shorter first names". A comment of "negative skew" is B0. **Need to see distinct or separate responses for (a) and (b)** |
| (b) | Marc's suggestion is compatible because it's negative correlation | B1 | B1 for a comment that suggests data is compatible with the suggestion and a suitable reason such as "there is negative correlation" or a description in $x$ and $y$ or in context, or the points lie close to a line with negative gradient, or draw line $y = x$ and state that more points below the line so supports (or is compatible with) his suggestion. A reason based on just a **single point** is B0. e.g. "11 letters in last name has only 5 in first name" |
| (c) | $(r =) -0.54458266...$ awrt $\mathbf{-0.545}$ | B1 | B1 for awrt $-0.545$ |
| (d) | $H_0: \rho = 0$ $H_1: \rho < 0$ | B1 | B1 for both hypotheses correct in terms of $\rho$ |
| | $[5\% \text{ 1-tail cv} =] (\pm) 0.4259$ (significant result / reject $H_0$) There is evidence of negative correlation between the number of letters in (or length of) a student's last name and their first name | M1, A1 | M1 for a critical value compatible with their $H_1$: 1-tail: awrt $\pm 0.426$ (condone $\pm 0.425$) or 2-tail (B0 scored for $H_1$) : awrt $\pm 0.497$. If hypotheses are in words and can deduce whether one or two-tail then use their words. If no hypotheses or their $H_1$ is not clearly one or two tail assume one-tail. A1 for compatible signs between cv and $r$ and a correct conclusion in context mentioning **correlation and number of letters or length and name** (if their value from (c)). **Do NOT award this A mark if contradictory statements or working seen** e.g. "accept $H_0$" or comparison of 0.426 with significance level of 0.05 etc. |
\begin{enumerate}
  \item Marc took a random sample of 16 students from a school and for each student recorded
\end{enumerate}

\begin{itemize}
  \item the number of letters, $x$, in their last name
  \item the number of letters, $y$, in their first name
\end{itemize}

His results are shown in the scatter diagram on the next page.\\
(a) Describe the correlation between $x$ and $y$.

Marc suggests that parents with long last names tend to give their children shorter first names.\\
(b) Using the scatter diagram comment on Marc's suggestion, giving a reason for your answer.

The results from Marc's random sample of 16 observations are given in the table below.

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | l | }
\hline
$x$ & 3 & 6 & 8 & 7 & 5 & 3 & 11 & 3 & 4 & 5 & 4 & 9 & 7 & 10 & 6 & 6 \\
\hline
$y$ & 7 & 7 & 4 & 4 & 6 & 8 & 5 & 5 & 8 & 4 & 7 & 4 & 5 & 5 & 6 & 3 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

(c) Use your calculator to find the product moment correlation coefficient between $x$ and $y$ for these data.\\
(d) Test whether or not there is evidence of a negative correlation between the number of letters in the last name and the number of letters in the first name.

You should

\begin{itemize}
  \item state your hypotheses clearly
  \item use a $5 \%$ level of significance
\end{itemize}

\section*{Question 2 continued.}
\begin{center}
\includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}]{10736735-3050-43eb-9e76-011ca6fa48b8-05_1125_1337_294_372}
\end{center}

\section*{Question 2 continued.}
\section*{Question 2 continued.}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel Paper 3 2021 Q2 [6]}}