11 A trainer was asked to give a lecture on population profiles in different Local Authorities (LAs) in the UK. Using data from the 2011 census, he created the following scatter diagram for 17 selected LAs.
\begin{figure}[h]
\captionsetup{labelformat=empty}
\caption{17 Selected Local Authorities}
\includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{1a0e0afb-81be-45d1-8c86-f98e508e9a49-08_560_897_466_246}
\end{figure}
He selected the 17 LAs using the following method. The proportions of people aged 18 to 24 and aged 65+ in any Local Authority are denoted by \(P _ { \text {young } }\) and \(P _ { \text {senior } }\) respectively. The trainer used a spreadsheet to calculate the value of \(k = \frac { P _ { \text {young } } } { P _ { \text {senior } } }\) for each of the 348 LAs in the UK. He then used specific ranges of values of \(k\) to select the 17 LAs.
- Estimate the ranges of values of \(k\) that he used to select these 17 LAs.
- Using the 17 LAs the trainer carried out a hypothesis test with the following hypotheses.
\(\mathrm { H } _ { 0 }\) : There is no linear correlation in the population between \(P _ { \text {young } }\) and \(P _ { \text {senior } }\).
\(\mathrm { H } _ { 1 }\) : There is negative linear correlation in the population between \(P _ { \text {young } }\) and \(P _ { \text {senior } }\).
He found that the value of Pearson's product-moment correlation coefficient for the 17 LAs is - 0.797 , correct to 3 significant figures.
- Use the table on page 9 to show that this value is significant at the \(1 \%\) level.
The trainer concluded that there is evidence of negative linear correlation between \(P _ { \text {young } }\) and \(P _ { \text {senior } }\) in the population.
- Use the diagram to comment on the reliability of this conclusion.
- Describe one outstanding feature of the population in the areas represented by the points in the bottom right hand corner of the diagram.
- The trainer's audience included representatives from several universities.
Suggest a reason why the diagram might be of particular interest to these people.
\begin{table}[h]
\captionsetup{labelformat=empty}
\caption{Critical values of Pearson's product-moment correlation coefficient}
| \multirow{2}{*}{1-tail test 2-tail test} | 5\% | 2.5\% | 1\% | 0.5\% |
| 10\% | 5\% | 2\% | 1\% |
| \(n\) | |
| 1 | - | - | - | - |
| 2 | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | 0.9877 | 0.9969 | 0.9995 | 0.9999 |
| 4 | 0.9000 | 0.9500 | 0.9800 | 0.9900 |
| 5 | 0.8054 | 0.8783 | 0.9343 | 0.9587 |
| 6 | 0.7293 | 0.8114 | 0.8822 | 0.9172 |
| 7 | 0.6694 | 0.7545 | 0.8329 | 0.8745 |
| 8 | 0.6215 | 0.7067 | 0.7887 | 0.8343 |
| 9 | 0.5822 | 0.6664 | 0.7498 | 0.7977 |
| 10 | 0.5494 | 0.6319 | 0.7155 | 0.7646 |
| 11 | 0.5214 | 0.6021 | 0.6851 | 0.7348 |
| 12 | 0.4973 | 0.5760 | 0.6581 | 0.7079 |
| 13 | 0.4762 | 0.5529 | 0.6339 | 0.6835 |
| 14 | 0.4575 | 0.5324 | 0.6120 | 0.6614 |
| 15 | 0.4409 | 0.5140 | 0.5923 | 0.6411 |
| 16 | 0.4259 | 0.4973 | 0.5742 | 0.6226 |
| 17 | 0.4124 | 0.4821 | 0.5577 | 0.6055 |
| 18 | 0.4000 | 0.4683 | 0.5425 | 0.5897 |
| 19 | 0.3887 | 0.4555 | 0.5285 | 0.5751 |
| 20 | 0.3783 | 0.4438 | 0.5155 | 0.5614 |
| 21 | 0.3687 | 0.4329 | 0.5034 | 0.5487 |
| 22 | 0.3598 | 0.4227 | 0.4921 | 0.5368 |
| 23 | 0.3515 | 0.4132 | 0.4815 | 0.5256 |
| 24 | 0.3438 | 0.4044 | 0.4716 | 0.5151 |
| 25 | 0.3365 | 0.3961 | 0.4622 | 0.5052 |
| 26 | 0.3297 | 0.3882 | 0.4534 | 0.4958 |
| 27 | 0.3233 | 0.3809 | 0.4451 | 0.4869 |
| 28 | 0.3172 | 0.3739 | 0.4372 | 0.4785 |
| 29 | 0.3115 | 0.3673 | 0.4297 | 0.4705 |
| 30 | 0.3061 | 0.3610 | 0.4226 | 0.4629 |
\end{table}
Turn over for questions 12 and 13