OCR MEI S3 2011 June — Question 3

Exam BoardOCR MEI
ModuleS3 (Statistics 3)
Year2011
SessionJune
TopicExponential Distribution
TypeFind quartiles or percentiles

3 The time, in hours, until an electronic component fails is represented by the random variable \(X\). In this question two models for \(X\) are proposed.
  1. In one model, \(X\) has cumulative distribution function $$\mathrm { G } ( x ) = \begin{cases} 0 & x \leqslant 0
    1 - \left( 1 + \frac { x } { 200 } \right) ^ { - 2 } & x > 0 \end{cases}$$ (A) Sketch \(\mathrm { G } ( x )\).
    (B) Find the interquartile range for this model. Hence show that a lifetime of more than 454 hours (to the nearest hour) would be classed as an outlier.
  2. In the alternative model, \(X\) has probability density function $$\mathrm { f } ( x ) = \begin{cases} \frac { 1 } { 200 } \mathrm { e } ^ { - \frac { 1 } { 200 } x } & x > 0
    0 & \text { elsewhere. } \end{cases}$$ (A) For this model show that the cumulative distribution function of \(X\) is $$\mathrm { F } ( x ) = \begin{cases} 0 & x \leqslant 0
    1 - \mathrm { e } ^ { - \frac { 1 } { 200 } x } & x > 0 \end{cases}$$ (B) Show that \(\mathrm { P } ( X > 50 ) = \mathrm { e } ^ { - 0.25 }\).
    (C) It is observed that a particular component is still working after 400 hours. Find the conditional probability that it will still be working after a further 50 hours (i.e. after a total of 450 hours) given that it is still working after 400 hours.