OCR S3 2013 June — Question 7 15 marks

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleS3 (Statistics 3)
Year2013
SessionJune
Marks15
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicT-tests (unknown variance)
TypeFind k or boundary value from test
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a standard two-sample t-test with summary statistics requiring calculation of means, variances, pooled variance, and test statistic. Part (ii) adds a slight twist by asking for a critical difference value, but this is a routine manipulation of the confidence interval formula. The question is slightly above average difficulty due to the two parts and computational demands, but follows a well-practiced procedure with no conceptual surprises for S3 students.
Spec5.05c Hypothesis test: normal distribution for population mean

7 Two machines \(A\) and \(B\) both pack cartons in a factory. The mean packing times are compared by timing the packing of 10 randomly chosen cartons from machine \(A\) and 8 randomly chosen cartons from machine \(B\). The times, \(t\) seconds, taken to pack these cartons are summarised below.
Sample size\(\sum t\)\(\sum t ^ { 2 }\)
Machine \(A\)10221.44920.9
Machine \(B\)8199.24980.3
The packing times have independent normal distributions.
  1. Stating a necessary assumption, carry out a test, at the \(1 \%\) significance level, of whether the population mean packing times differ for the two machines.
  2. Find the largest possible value of the constant \(c\) for which there is evidence at the \(1 \%\) significance level that \(\mu _ { B } - \mu _ { A } > c\), where \(\mu _ { B }\) and \(\mu _ { A }\) denote the respective population mean packing times in seconds.

Question 7(i):
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMarks Guidance
(Assumes the populations of machine) times have equal variancesB1 unless explicitly samples
\(H_0: \mu_A = \mu_B,\ H_1: \mu_A \neq \mu_B\)B1 For both. Accept in words, provided 'population' used
Pooled estimate \(= s^2\)
\(= [4920.9 - 221.4^2/10 + 4980.3 - 199.2^2/8]/16 = 39.324/16\)M1A1 A1 for 39.324 or 16. Not pooled M0A0A0 here
\(= 2.45775\)A1
SD of \(\bar{t}_B - \bar{t}_A = s\sqrt{10^{-1} + 8^{-1}}\)
\(= 0.74364\)A1 A0 for 0.757
\(1\%\ \text{CV} = 2.921\)B1 allow B1 for 2.921
\(\bar{t}_B - \bar{t}_A = 2.76\) or \(24.9 - 22.14\)B1 allow B1 for 2.76 etc
Test statistic \(T = 2.76/\text{SD}\)M1 Needs denominator \((s)\ \left(\frac{s}{10}, \frac{s}{8}\right), \left(\frac{s}{9}, \frac{s}{7}\right), \frac{s}{18}, \frac{s}{16}\) for M1
\(= 3.711\)A1 allow A1ft for 3.645
\(T > 2.921\) so reject \(H_0\)M1 ft TS, CV even if 1-tail and/or \(z\). Consistent signs
There is sufficient evidence that the population mean packing times differA1 ft TS only. 'Not pooled' can score B1B1M0A0A0A0B1M1A1M1A1 max 8/12
[12]
Question 7(ii):
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMarks Guidance
CV \(2.583\)B1
\((2.76 - c)/\text{SD} \geq \text{CV}\)M1 Allow \(=,\ \leq\); must be sd from (i)
\(c \leq 0.8392\) or largest \(\approx 0.839\)A1 NOT isw
[3]
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# Question 7(i):

| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|--------|-------|----------|
| (Assumes the populations of machine) times have equal variances | B1 | unless explicitly samples |
| $H_0: \mu_A = \mu_B,\ H_1: \mu_A \neq \mu_B$ | B1 | For both. Accept in words, provided 'population' used |
| Pooled estimate $= s^2$ | | |
| $= [4920.9 - 221.4^2/10 + 4980.3 - 199.2^2/8]/16 = 39.324/16$ | M1A1 | A1 for 39.324 or 16. Not pooled M0A0A0 here |
| $= 2.45775$ | A1 | |
| SD of $\bar{t}_B - \bar{t}_A = s\sqrt{10^{-1} + 8^{-1}}$ | | |
| $= 0.74364$ | A1 | A0 for 0.757 |
| $1\%\ \text{CV} = 2.921$ | B1 | allow B1 for 2.921 |
| $\bar{t}_B - \bar{t}_A = 2.76$ or $24.9 - 22.14$ | B1 | allow B1 for 2.76 etc |
| Test statistic $T = 2.76/\text{SD}$ | M1 | Needs denominator $(s)\ \left(\frac{s}{10}, \frac{s}{8}\right), \left(\frac{s}{9}, \frac{s}{7}\right), \frac{s}{18}, \frac{s}{16}$ for M1 |
| $= 3.711$ | A1 | allow A1ft for 3.645 |
| $T > 2.921$ so reject $H_0$ | M1 | ft TS, CV even if 1-tail and/or $z$. Consistent signs |
| There is sufficient evidence that the population mean packing times differ | A1 | ft TS only. 'Not pooled' can score B1B1M0A0A0A0B1M1A1M1A1 max 8/12 |
| | **[12]** | |

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# Question 7(ii):

| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|--------|-------|----------|
| CV $2.583$ | B1 | |
| $(2.76 - c)/\text{SD} \geq \text{CV}$ | M1 | Allow $=,\ \leq$; must be sd from (i) |
| $c \leq 0.8392$ or largest $\approx 0.839$ | A1 | NOT isw |
| | **[3]** | |

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7 Two machines $A$ and $B$ both pack cartons in a factory. The mean packing times are compared by timing the packing of 10 randomly chosen cartons from machine $A$ and 8 randomly chosen cartons from machine $B$. The times, $t$ seconds, taken to pack these cartons are summarised below.

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ | l | c | c | c | }
\hline
 & Sample size & $\sum t$ & $\sum t ^ { 2 }$ \\
\hline
Machine $A$ & 10 & 221.4 & 4920.9 \\
\hline
Machine $B$ & 8 & 199.2 & 4980.3 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

The packing times have independent normal distributions.\\
(i) Stating a necessary assumption, carry out a test, at the $1 \%$ significance level, of whether the population mean packing times differ for the two machines.\\
(ii) Find the largest possible value of the constant $c$ for which there is evidence at the $1 \%$ significance level that $\mu _ { B } - \mu _ { A } > c$, where $\mu _ { B }$ and $\mu _ { A }$ denote the respective population mean packing times in seconds.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR S3 2013 Q7 [15]}}