OCR S3 2009 January — Question 5

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleS3 (Statistics 3)
Year2009
SessionJanuary
TopicLinear combinations of normal random variables
TypeCI with known population variance

5 The concentration level of mercury in a large lake is known to have a normal distribution with standard deviation 0.24 in suitable units. At the beginning of June 2008, the mercury level was measured at five randomly chosen places on the lake, and the sample mean is denoted by \(\bar { x } _ { 1 }\). Towards the end of June 2008 there was a spillage in the lake which may have caused the mercury level to rise. Because of this the level was then measured at six randomly chosen points of the lake, and the mean of this sample is denoted by \(\bar { x } _ { 2 }\).
  1. State hypotheses for a test based on the two samples for whether, on average, the level of mercury had increased. Define any parameters that you use.
  2. Find the set of values of \(\bar { x } _ { 2 } - \bar { x } _ { 1 }\) for which there would be evidence at the 5\% significance level that, on average, the level of mercury had increased.
  3. Given that the average level had actually increased by 0.3 units, find the probability of making a Type II error in your test, and comment on its value.