2 Clover stems usually have three leaves. Occasionally a clover stem has four leaves. This is considered by some to be lucky and is known as a four-leaf clover. On average 1 in 10000 clover stems is a four-leaf clover. You may assume that four-leaf clovers occur randomly and independently.
A random sample of 5000 clover stems is selected.
- State the exact distribution of \(X\), the number of four-leaf clovers in the sample.
- Explain why \(X\) may be approximated by a Poisson distribution. Write down the mean of this Poisson distribution.
- Use this Poisson distribution to find the probability that the sample contains at least one four-leaf clover.
- Find the probability that in 20 samples, each of 5000 clover stems, there are exactly 9 samples which contain at least one four-leaf clover.
- Find the expected number of these 20 samples which contain at least one four-leaf clover.
The table shows the numbers of four-leaf clovers in these 20 samples.
| Number of four-leaf clovers | 0 | 1 | 2 | \(> 2\) |
| Number of samples | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
- Calculate the mean and variance of the data in the table.
- Briefly comment on whether your answers to parts (v) and (vi) support the use of the Poisson approximating distribution in part (iii).