OCR S2 2013 January — Question 9

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2013
SessionJanuary
TopicHypothesis test of binomial distributions
TypeCalculate Type I error probability

9 The random variable \(A\) has the distribution \(\mathrm { B } ( 30 , p )\). A test is carried out of the hypotheses \(\mathrm { H } _ { 0 } : p = 0.6\) against \(\mathrm { H } _ { 1 } : p < 0.6\). The critical region is \(A \leqslant 13\).
  1. State the probability that \(\mathrm { H } _ { 0 }\) is rejected when \(p = 0.6\).
  2. Find the probability that a Type II error occurs when \(p = 0.5\).
  3. It is known that on average \(p = 0.5\) on one day in five, and on other days the value of \(p\) is 0.6 . On each day two tests are carried out. If the result of the first test is that \(\mathrm { H } _ { 0 }\) is rejected, the value of \(p\) is adjusted if necessary, to ensure that \(p = 0.6\) for the rest of the day. Otherwise the value of \(p\) remains the same as for the first test. Calculate the probability that the result of the second test is to reject \(\mathrm { H } _ { 0 }\). \section*{THERE ARE NO QUESTIONS WRITTEN ON THIS PAGE.}