OCR S4 2008 June — Question 4 7 marks

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleS4 (Statistics 4)
Year2008
SessionJune
Marks7
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicWilcoxon tests
TypeWilcoxon rank-sum test (Mann-Whitney U test)
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a straightforward application of the Wilcoxon rank-sum test with clear data already ordered. Part (i) requires recognizing that unequal variances violate t-test assumptions (routine knowledge), and part (ii) involves standard ranking procedure, calculating the test statistic, and comparing to tables. The data is conveniently pre-sorted and sample sizes are small, making calculations mechanical rather than requiring problem-solving insight.
Spec5.07d Paired vs two-sample: selection

4 William takes a bus regularly on the same journey, sometimes in the morning and sometimes in the afternoon. He wishes to compare morning and afternoon journey times. He records the journey times on 7 randomly chosen mornings and 8 randomly chosen afternoons. The results, each correct to the nearest minute, are as follows, where M denotes a morning time and A denotes an afternoon time.
MAAMMMMMMAAAAAA
192022242526283031333537383942
William wishes to test for a difference between the average times of morning and afternoon journeys.
  1. Given that \(s _ { M } ^ { 2 } = 16.5\) and \(s _ { A } ^ { 2 } = 64.5\), with the usual notation, explain why a \(t\)-test is not appropriate in this case.
  2. William chooses a non-parametric test at the \(5 \%\) significance level. Carry out the test, stating the rejection region.

AnswerMarks Guidance
(i) Differentiate to obtain form \(kx(2x^2 + 9)^n\)M1 any constant k; any n < \(\frac{5}{2}\)
Obtain correct \(10x(2x^2 + 9)^{\frac{1}{2}}\)A1 or (unsimplified) equiv
Equate to 100 and confirm \(x = 10(2x^2 + 9)^{-\frac{1}{2}}\)A1 AG; necessary detail required
(ii) Attempt relevant calculations with 0.3 and 0.4M1 Obtain at least one correct value
\(x\)\(f(x)\) \(x - f(x)\)
0.30.3595 -0.0595
0.40.3515 0.0485
A1Obtain two correct values and conclude appropriately
A1noting sign change or showing 0.3 < f(0.3) and 0.4 > f(0.4) or showing gradients either side of 100
(iii) Obtain correct first iterateB1
Carry out correct processM1 finding at least 3 iterates in all
Obtain 0.3553A1 answer required to exactly 4 dp
[0.3 → 0.35953 → 0.35497 → 0.35534 → 0.35531;
0.35 → 0.35575 → 0.35528 → 0.35532 (→ 0.35531);
0.4 → 0.35146 → 0.35563 → 0.35529 → 0.35532]
(i) Differentiate to obtain form $kx(2x^2 + 9)^n$ | M1 | any constant k; any n < $\frac{5}{2}$
Obtain correct $10x(2x^2 + 9)^{\frac{1}{2}}$ | A1 | or (unsimplified) equiv
Equate to 100 and confirm $x = 10(2x^2 + 9)^{-\frac{1}{2}}$ | A1 | AG; necessary detail required

(ii) Attempt relevant calculations with 0.3 and 0.4 | M1 | Obtain at least one correct value
 | | $x$ | $f(x)$ | $x - f(x)$ | $f'(x)$
 | | 0.3 | 0.3595 | -0.0595 | 83.4
 | | 0.4 | 0.3515 | 0.0485 | 113.8
 | A1 | Obtain two correct values and conclude appropriately
 | A1 | noting sign change or showing 0.3 < f(0.3) and 0.4 > f(0.4) or showing gradients either side of 100

(iii) Obtain correct first iterate | B1 | 
Carry out correct process | M1 | finding at least 3 iterates in all
Obtain 0.3553 | A1 | answer required to exactly 4 dp

[0.3 → 0.35953 → 0.35497 → 0.35534 → 0.35531;
0.35 → 0.35575 → 0.35528 → 0.35532 (→ 0.35531);
0.4 → 0.35146 → 0.35563 → 0.35529 → 0.35532]
4 William takes a bus regularly on the same journey, sometimes in the morning and sometimes in the afternoon. He wishes to compare morning and afternoon journey times. He records the journey times on 7 randomly chosen mornings and 8 randomly chosen afternoons. The results, each correct to the nearest minute, are as follows, where M denotes a morning time and A denotes an afternoon time.

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ c c c c c c c c c c c c c c c }
M & A & A & M & M & M & M & M & M & A & A & A & A & A & A \\
19 & 20 & 22 & 24 & 25 & 26 & 28 & 30 & 31 & 33 & 35 & 37 & 38 & 39 & 42 \\
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

William wishes to test for a difference between the average times of morning and afternoon journeys.\\
(i) Given that $s _ { M } ^ { 2 } = 16.5$ and $s _ { A } ^ { 2 } = 64.5$, with the usual notation, explain why a $t$-test is not appropriate in this case.\\
(ii) William chooses a non-parametric test at the $5 \%$ significance level. Carry out the test, stating the rejection region.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR S4 2008 Q4 [7]}}