OCR S3 2006 June — Question 1 4 marks

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleS3 (Statistics 3)
Year2006
SessionJune
Marks4
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicSum of Poisson processes
TypeSum of three or more Poissons
DifficultyStandard +0.8 This question requires understanding that independent Poisson distributions sum to another Poisson, then correctly calculating the combined parameter: 2 minutes × (3×1.5 + 2×2) = 17, followed by evaluating P(X=27) from Po(17). While conceptually straightforward for students who know the sum property, it involves multiple layers of calculation and careful parameter arithmetic, making it moderately challenging but still within standard S3 scope.
Spec5.02n Sum of Poisson variables: is Poisson

1 The numbers of \(\alpha\)-particles emitted per minute from two types of source, \(A\) and \(B\), have the distributions \(\operatorname { Po } ( 1.5 )\) and \(\operatorname { Po } ( 2 )\) respectively. The total number of \(\alpha\)-particles emitted over a period of 2 minutes from three sources of type \(A\) and two sources of type \(B\), all of which are independent, is denoted by \(X\). Calculate \(\mathrm { P } ( X = 27 )\).

Question 1:
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
Add two Poisson distributions with mean 17M1
A1
\(P(27) = e^{-17}17^{27}/27!\) or \(P(\leq 27) - P(\leq 26)\)M1 Use formula or table
\(0.00634\) or \(0.0063\), \(0.0064\) from tablesA1 4
# Question 1:

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Add two Poisson distributions with mean 17 | M1 | |
| | A1 | |
| $P(27) = e^{-17}17^{27}/27!$ or $P(\leq 27) - P(\leq 26)$ | M1 | Use formula or table |
| $0.00634$ or $0.0063$, $0.0064$ from tables | A1 | **4** | M1A1 $0.0052$ from $N(17,17)$ |

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1 The numbers of $\alpha$-particles emitted per minute from two types of source, $A$ and $B$, have the distributions $\operatorname { Po } ( 1.5 )$ and $\operatorname { Po } ( 2 )$ respectively. The total number of $\alpha$-particles emitted over a period of 2 minutes from three sources of type $A$ and two sources of type $B$, all of which are independent, is denoted by $X$. Calculate $\mathrm { P } ( X = 27 )$.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR S3 2006 Q1 [4]}}