One-tailed test critical region

Questions asking for the critical region of a one-tailed hypothesis test (either upper-tailed with H₁: p > p₀ or lower-tailed with H₁: p < p₀).

11 questions

CAIE S2 2020 March Q7
7 A national survey shows that \(95 \%\) of year 12 students use social media. Arvin suspects that the percentage of year 12 students at his college who use social media is less than the national percentage. He chooses a random sample of 20 students at his college and notes the number who use social media. He then carries out a test at the \(2 \%\) significance level.
  1. Find the rejection region for the test.
  2. Find the probability of a Type I error.
  3. Jimmy believes that the true percentage at Arvin's college is \(70 \%\). Assuming that Jimmy is correct, find the probability of a Type II error.
    If you use the following lined page to complete the answer(s) to any question(s), the question number(s) must be clearly shown.
CAIE S2 2021 November Q6
6 A machine is supposed to produce random digits. Bob thinks that the machine is not fair and that the probability of it producing the digit 0 is less than \(\frac { 1 } { 10 }\). In order to test his suspicion he notes the number of times the digit 0 occurs in 30 digits produced by the machine. He carries out a test at the \(10 \%\) significance level.
  1. State suitable null and alternative hypotheses.
  2. Find the rejection region for the test.
  3. State the probability of a Type I error.
    It is now given that the machine actually produces a 0 once in every 40 digits, on average.
  4. Find the probability of a Type II error.
  5. Explain the meaning of a Type II error in this context.
CAIE S2 2012 November Q4
4 A cereal manufacturer claims that \(25 \%\) of cereal packets contain a free gift. Lola suspects that the true proportion is less than \(25 \%\). In order to test the manufacturer's claim at the \(5 \%\) significance level, she checks a random sample of 20 packets.
  1. Find the critical region for the test.
  2. Hence find the probability of a Type I error. Lola finds that 2 packets in her sample contain a free gift.
  3. State, with a reason, the conclusion she should draw.
OCR S2 2011 January Q9
9 A pharmaceutical company is developing a new drug to treat a certain disease. The company will continue to develop the drug if the proportion \(p\) of those who have the disease and show a substantial improvement after treatment is greater than 0.7 . The company carries out a test, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, on a random sample of 14 patients who suffer from the disease.
  1. Find the critical region for the test.
  2. Given that 12 of the 14 patients in the sample show a substantial improvement, carry out the test.
  3. Find the probability that the test results in a Type II error if in fact \(p = 0.8\). RECOGNISING ACHIEVEMENT
OCR H240/02 2018 June Q9
9 Briony suspects that a particular 6-sided dice is biased in favour of 2. She plans to throw the dice 35 times and note the number of times that it shows a 2 . She will then carry out a test at the \(4 \%\) significance level. Find the rejection region for the test.
WJEC Unit 2 2024 June Q4
4. A company produces sweets of varying colours. The company claims that the proportion of blue sweets is \(13.6 \%\). A consumer believes that the true proportion is less than this. In order to test this belief, the consumer collects a random sample of 80 sweets.
  1. State suitable hypotheses for the test.
    1. Determine the critical region if the test is to be carried out at a significance level as close as possible to, but not exceeding, \(5 \%\).
    2. Given that there are 6 blue sweets in the sample of 80, complete the significance test.
  2. Suppose the proportion of blue sweets claimed by the company is correct. The consumer conducts the sampling and testing process on a further 20 occasions, using the sample size of 80 each time. What is the expected number of these occasions on which the consumer would reach the incorrect conclusion?
  3. Now suppose that the proportion of blue sweets is \(7 \%\). Find the probability of a Type II error. Interpret your answer in context.
Edexcel FS1 Specimen Q7
  1. Sam and Tessa are testing a spinner to see if the probability, p , of it landing on red is less than \(\frac { 1 } { 5 }\). They both use a \(10 \%\) significance level.
Sam decides to spin the spinner 20 times and record the number of times it lands on red.
  1. Find the critical region for Sam's test.
  2. Write down the size of Sam's test. Tessa decides to spin the spinner until it lands on red and she records the number of spins.
  3. Find the critical region for Tessa's test.
  4. Find the size of Tessa's test.
    1. Show that the power function for Sam's test is given by $$( 1 - p ) ^ { 19 } ( 1 + 19 p )$$
    2. Find the power function for Tessa's test.
  5. With reference to parts (b), (d) and (e), state, giving your reasons, whether you would recommend Sam's test or Tessa's test when \(\mathrm { p } = 0.15\)
OCR H240/02 2023 June Q12
12 A student has an ordinary six-sided dice. The student suspects that it is biased against six, so that when it is thrown, it is less likely to show a six than if it were fair. In order to test this suspicion, the student plans to carry out a hypothesis test at the 5\% significance level. The student throws the dice 100 times and notes the number of times, \(X\), that it shows a six.
  1. Determine the largest value of \(X\) that would provide evidence at the \(5 \%\) significance level that the dice is biased against six. Later another student carries out a similar test, at the 5\% significance level. This student also throws the dice 100 times.
  2. It is given that the dice is fair. Find the probability that the conclusion of the test is that there is significant evidence that the dice is biased against six.
AQA Paper 3 2020 June Q18
18
  1. Find the probability that:
    18
    1. a box contains exactly 5 shirts with a colour defect
      18
  2. (ii) a box contains fewer than 15 shirts with a sewing defect
    18
  3. (iii) a box contains at least 20 shirts which do not have a fabric defect.
    Question 18 continues on the next page 18
  4. Tiana wants to investigate the proportion, \(p\), of defective shirts with a fabric defect. She wishes to test the hypotheses $$\begin{aligned} & \mathrm { H } _ { 0 } : p = 0.3
    & \mathrm { H } _ { 1 } : p < 0.3 \end{aligned}$$ She takes a random sample of 60 shirts with a defect and finds that \(x\) of them have a fabric defect. 18
    1. Using a \(5 \%\) level of significance, find the critical region for \(x\).
      18
  5. (ii) In her sample she finds 13 shirts with a fabric defect. Complete the test stating her conclusion in context.
AQA Further AS Paper 2 Statistics 2023 June Q4
4 The proportion, \(p\), of people in a particular town who use the local supermarket is unknown. A random sample of 30 people in the town is taken and each person is asked if they use the local supermarket. The manager of the supermarket claims that 35\% of the people in the town use the local supermarket. The random sample is used to conduct a hypothesis test at the \(5 \%\) level of significance with the hypotheses $$\begin{aligned} & \mathrm { H } _ { 0 } : p = 0.35
& \mathrm { H } _ { 1 } : p \neq 0.35 \end{aligned}$$ Show that the probability that a Type I error is made is 0.0356 , correct to four decimal places.
SPS SPS SM 2021 February Q8
7 marks
8. Tiana is a quality controller in a clothes factory. She checks for four possible types of defects in shirts. Of the shirts with defects, the proportion of each type of defect is as shown in the table below.
Type of defectColourFabricSewingSizing
Probability0.250.300.400.05
Tiana wants to investigate the proportion, \(p\), of defective shirts with a fabric defect.
She wishes to test the hypotheses $$\begin{aligned} & \mathrm { H } _ { 0 } : p = 0.3
& \mathrm { H } _ { 1 } : p < 0.3 \end{aligned}$$ She takes a random sample of 60 shirts with a defect and finds that \(x\) of them have a fabric defect.
  1. Using a \(5 \%\) level of significance, find the critical region for \(x\).
  2. In her sample she finds 13 shirts with a fabric defect. Complete the test stating her conclusion in context. Instructions
    • Answer all the questions
    • Write your answer to each question on file paper The question number(s) must be clearly shown.
    • Use black or blue ink. Pencil may be used for graphs and diagrams only.
    • You should clearly write your name at the top of each page.
    • You are permitted to use a scientific or graphical calculator in this paper.
    • Final answers should be given to a degree of accuracy appropriate to the context.
    • At the end you must upload your solutions to the mechanics questions to the google classroom of your mechanics teacher before you leave the examination google Meet.
    Information
    • The total mark for this paper is \(\mathbf { 6 1 }\) marks.
    • The marks for each question are shown in brackets ( ).
    • You are reminded of the need for clear presentation in your answers.
    • You should allow approximately 65 minutes for this section of the test
    1. A vehicle is driven at a constant speed of \(12 \mathrm {~ms} ^ { - 1 }\) along a straight horizontal road. Only one of the statements below is correct. Identify the correct statement.
    Tick \(( \checkmark )\) one box. The vehicle is accelerating □ The vehicle's driving force exceeds the total force resisting its motion □ The resultant force acting on the vehicle is zero □ The resultant force acting on the vehicle is dependent on its mass □
    2. A number of forces act on a particle such that the resultant force is \(\binom { 6 } { - 3 } \mathrm {~N}\)
    One of the forces acting on the particle is \(\binom { 8 } { - 5 } \mathrm {~N}\)
    Calculate the total of the other forces acting on the particle.
    Circle your answer.
    [0pt] [1 mark] $$\binom { 2 } { - 2 } \mathrm {~N} \quad \binom { 14 } { - 8 } \mathrm {~N} \quad \binom { - 2 } { 2 } \mathrm {~N} \quad \binom { - 14 } { 8 } \mathrm {~N}$$ 3. A rough plane is inclined to the horizontal at an angle \(\alpha\), where \(\tan \alpha = \frac { 3 } { 4 }\)
    A brick \(P\) of mass \(m\) is placed on the plane.
    The coefficient of friction between \(P\) and the plane is \(\mu\)
    Brick \(P\) is in equilibrium and on the point of sliding down the plane.
    Brick \(P\) is modelled as a particle.
    Using the model,
    (a) find, in terms of \(m\) and \(g\), the magnitude of the normal reaction of the plane on brick \(P\)
    (b) show that \(\mu = \frac { 3 } { 4 }\) For parts (c) and (d), you are not required to do any further calculations.
    Brick \(P\) is now removed from the plane and a much heavier brick \(Q\) is placed on the plane. The coefficient of friction between \(Q\) and the plane is also \(\frac { 3 } { 4 }\)
    (c) Explain briefly why brick \(Q\) will remain at rest on the plane. Brick \(Q\) is now projected with speed \(0.5 \mathrm {~ms} ^ { - 1 }\) down a line of greatest slope of the plane.
    Brick \(Q\) is modelled as a particle.
    Using the model,
    (d) describe the motion of brick \(Q\), giving a reason for your answer.
    4. A particle \(P\) moves with acceleration \(( 4 \mathbf { i } - 5 \mathbf { j } ) \mathrm { ms } ^ { - 2 }\)
    At time \(t = 0 , P\) is moving with velocity \(( - 2 \mathbf { i } + 2 \mathbf { j } ) \mathrm { m } \mathrm { s } ^ { - 1 }\)
    (a) Find the velocity of \(P\) at time \(t = 2\) seconds. At time \(t = 0 , P\) passes through the origin \(O\).
    At time \(t = T\) seconds, where \(T > 0\), the particle \(P\) passes through the point \(A\).
    The position vector of \(A\) is \(( \lambda \mathbf { i } - 4.5 \mathbf { j } ) \mathrm { m }\) relative to \(O\), where \(\lambda\) is a constant.
    (b) Find the value of \(T\).
    (c) Hence find the value of \(\lambda\)
    5.
  3. At time \(t\) seconds, where \(t \geqslant 0\), a particle \(P\) moves so that its acceleration \(\mathbf { a } \mathrm { ms } ^ { - 2 }\) is given by $$\mathbf { a } = ( 1 - 4 t ) \mathbf { i } + \left( 3 - t ^ { 2 } \right) \mathbf { j }$$ At the instant when \(t = 0\), the velocity of \(P\) is \(36 \mathbf { i } \mathrm {~m} \mathrm {~s} ^ { - 1 }\)
    (a) Find the velocity of \(P\) when \(t = 4\)
    (b) Find the value of \(t\) at the instant when \(P\) is moving in a direction perpendicular to \(\mathbf { i }\)
  4. At time \(t\) seconds, where \(t \geqslant 0\), a particle \(Q\) moves so that its position vector \(\mathbf { r }\) metres, relative to a fixed origin \(O\), is given by $$\mathbf { r } = \left( t ^ { 2 } - t \right) \mathbf { i } + 3 t \mathbf { j }$$ Find the value of \(t\) at the instant when the speed of \(Q\) is \(5 \mathrm {~m} \mathrm {~s} ^ { - 1 }\)
    6. \begin{figure}[h]
    \includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{64d3256a-9007-4e8a-86d4-8375c006a4ce-16_529_993_374_529} \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Figure 2}
    \end{figure} A small ball is projected with speed \(U \mathrm {~m} \mathrm {~s} ^ { - 1 }\) from a point \(O\) at the top of a vertical cliff.
    The point \(O\) is 25 m vertically above the point \(N\) which is on horizontal ground.
    The ball is projected at an angle of \(45 ^ { \circ }\) above the horizontal.
    The ball hits the ground at a point \(A\), where \(A N = 100 \mathrm {~m}\), as shown in Figure 2 .
    The motion of the ball is modelled as that of a particle moving freely under gravity.
    Using this initial model,
    (a) show that \(U = 28\)
    (b) find the greatest height of the ball above the horizontal ground \(N A\). In a refinement to the model of the motion of the ball from \(O\) to \(A\), the effect of air resistance is included. This refined model is used to find a new value of \(U\).
    (c) How would this new value of \(U\) compare with 28 , the value given in part (a)?
    (d) State one further refinement to the model that would make the model more realistic.
    7. Block \(A\), of mass 0.2 kg , lies at rest on a rough plane.
    The plane is inclined at an angle \(\theta\) to the horizontal, such that \(\tan \theta = \frac { 7 } { 24 }\)
    A light inextensible string is attached to \(A\) and runs parallel to the line of greatest slope until it passes over a smooth fixed pulley at the top of the slope. The other end of this string is attached to particle \(B\), of mass 2 kg , which is held at rest so that the string is taut, as shown in the diagram below.
    \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{64d3256a-9007-4e8a-86d4-8375c006a4ce-17_424_1070_815_486}
    (a) \(\quad B\) is released from rest so that it begins to move vertically downwards with an acceleration of \(\frac { 543 } { 625 } \mathrm {~g} \mathrm {~m} \mathrm {~s} ^ { - 2 }\) Show that the coefficient of friction between \(A\) and the surface of the inclined plane is 0.17
    (b) In this question use \(g = 9.81 \mathrm {~m} \mathrm {~s} ^ { - 2 }\) When \(A\) reaches a speed of \(0.5 \mathrm {~ms} ^ { - 1 }\) the string breaks.
    (b) (i) Find the distance travelled by \(A\) after the string breaks until first coming to rest.
    (b) (ii) State an assumption that could affect the validity of your answer to part (b)(i). \section*{8.} A ball is projected forward from a fixed point, \(P\), on a horizontal surface with an initial speed \(u \mathrm {~m} \mathrm {~s} ^ { - 1 }\), at an acute angle \(\theta\) above the horizontal. The ball needs to first land at a point at least \(d\) metres away from \(P\).
    You may assume the ball may be modelled as a particle and that air resistance may be ignored. Show that $$\sin 2 \theta \geq \frac { d g } { u ^ { 2 } }$$ [6 marks]