Confidence intervals for proportions

2 The manager of a video hire shop wishes to estimate the proportion of videos damaged by customers. He takes a random sample of 120 videos and finds that 33 of them are damaged. Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the true proportion of videos that are being damaged when hired from this shop.

2 In a poll of people aged 18-21, 46 out of 200 randomly chosen university students agreed with a proposition. 51 out of 300 randomly chosen others who were not university students agreed with it. Test, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, whether the proportion of university students who agree with the proposition differs from the proportion of those who are not university students.

4 In order to compare the difficulty of two Su Doku puzzles, two random samples of 40 fans were selected. One sample was given Puzzle 1 and the other sample was given Puzzle 2. Of those given Puzzle 1, 24 could solve it within ten minutes. Of those given Puzzle 2, 15 could solve it within ten minutes.

1. Using proportions, test at the \(5 \%\) significance level whether there is a difference in the standard of difficulty of the two puzzles.
2. The setter believed that Puzzle 2 was more difficult than Puzzle 1. Obtain the smallest significance level at which this belief is supported.

3 A charity raises money by sending letters asking for donations. Because of recent poor responses, the charity's fund-raiser, Anna, decides to alter the letter's appearance and designs two possible alternatives, one colourful and the other plain. She believes that the colourful letter will be more successful. Anna sends 60 colourful letters and 40 plain letters to 100 people randomly chosen from the charity's database. There were 39 positive responses to the colourful letter and 12 positive responses to the plain letter. The population proportions of positive responses to the colourful and plain letters are denoted by \(p _ { C }\) and \(p _ { P }\) respectively. Test the null hypothesis \(p _ { C } - p _ { P } = 0.15\) against the alternative hypothesis \(p _ { C } - p _ { P } > 0.15\) at the \(2 \frac { 1 } { 2 } \%\) significance level and state what Anna could report to her manager.