Minimum time or stock level

A question is this type if and only if it asks for the minimum time to wait, or minimum number of items to stock, so that a specified probability threshold is met, requiring iterative or algebraic solution.

4 questions · Standard +0.4

5.02i Poisson distribution: random events model5.02j Poisson formula: P(X=x) = e^(-lambda)*lambda^x/x!5.02k Calculate Poisson probabilities5.02n Sum of Poisson variables: is Poisson
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CAIE S2 2024 November Q6
9 marks Standard +0.3
6 The numbers of customers arriving at service desks \(A\) and \(B\) during a 10 -minute period have the independent distributions \(\operatorname { Po } ( 1.8 )\) and \(\operatorname { Po } ( 2.1 )\) respectively.
  1. Find the probability that during a randomly chosen 15 -minute period more than 2 customers will arrive at \(\operatorname { desk } A\).
  2. Find the probability that during a randomly chosen 5-minute period the total number of customers arriving at both desks is less than 4 . \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{acd6f1c9-bbaf-40ca-b5cb-8466ddb9f596-08_2720_35_109_2012}
  3. An inspector waits at desk \(B\). She wants to wait long enough to be \(90 \%\) certain of seeing at least one customer arrive at the desk. Find the minimum time for which she should wait, giving your answer correct to the nearest minute.
AQA S2 2013 January Q3
11 marks Standard +0.3
3 A large office block is busy during the five weekdays, Monday to Friday, and less busy during the two weekend days, Saturday and Sunday. The block is illuminated by fluorescent light tubes which frequently fail and must be replaced with new tubes by John, the caretaker. The number of fluorescent tubes that fail on a particular weekday can be modelled by a Poisson distribution with mean 1.5. The number of fluorescent tubes that fail on a particular weekend day can be modelled by a Poisson distribution with mean 0.5 .
  1. Find the probability that:
    1. on one particular Monday, exactly 3 fluorescent light tubes fail;
    2. during the two days of a weekend, more than 1 fluorescent light tube fails;
    3. during a complete seven-day week, fewer than 10 fluorescent light tubes fail.
  2. John keeps a supply of new fluorescent light tubes. More new tubes are delivered every Monday morning to replace those that he has used during the previous week. John wants the probability that he runs out of new tubes before the next Monday morning to be less than 1 per cent. Find the minimum number of new tubes that he should have available on a Monday morning.
  3. Give a reason why a Poisson distribution with mean 0.375 is unlikely to provide a satisfactory model for the number of fluorescent light tubes that fail between 1 am and 7 am on a weekday.
AQA S2 2009 January Q3
14 marks Moderate -0.3
3 Joe owns two garages, Acefit and Bestjob, each specialising in the fitting of the latest satellite navigation device. The daily demand, \(X\), for the device at Acefit garage may be modelled by a Poisson distribution with mean 3.6. The daily demand, \(Y\), for the device at Bestjob garage may be modelled by a Poisson distribution with mean 4.4.
  1. Calculate:
    1. \(\mathrm { P } ( X \leqslant 3 )\);
    2. \(\quad \mathrm { P } ( Y = 5 )\).
  2. The total daily demand for the device at Joe's two garages is denoted by \(T\).
    1. Write down the distribution of \(T\), stating any assumption that you make.
    2. Determine \(\mathrm { P } ( 6 < T < 12 )\).
    3. Calculate the probability that the total demand for the device will exceed 14 on each of two consecutive days. Give your answer to one significant figure.
    4. Determine the minimum number of devices that Joe should have in stock if he is to meet his total demand on at least \(99 \%\) of days.
Pre-U Pre-U 9795/2 2010 June Q9
10 marks Challenging +1.2
9
  1. Two independent discrete random variables \(X\) and \(Y\) follow Poisson distributions with means \(\lambda\) and \(\mu\) respectively. Prove that the discrete random variable \(Z = X + Y\) follows a Poisson distribution with mean \(\lambda + \mu\). A garage has a white limousine and a green limousine for hire. Demands to hire the white limousine occur at a constant mean rate of 3 per week and demands to hire the green limousine occur at a constant mean rate of 2 per week. Demands for hire are received independently and randomly.
  2. Calculate the probability that in a period of two weeks
    1. no demands for hire are received, giving your answer to 3 significant figures,
    2. seven demands for hire are received.
    3. Find the least value of \(n\) such that the probability of at least \(n\) demands for hire in a period of three weeks is less than 0.005 .