Assess model appropriateness from context

Questions that ask students to assess whether a linear regression model is appropriate based on contextual factors, scatter diagrams, or theoretical considerations (not residual plots).

3 questions · Moderate -0.1

Sort by: Default | Easiest first | Hardest first
OCR MEI Further Statistics A AS 2021 November Q6
11 marks Moderate -0.3
6 A health researcher is investigating the relationship between age and maximum heart rate. A commonly quoted formula states that 'maximum heart rate \(= 220\) - age in years'. The researcher wants to check if this formula is a satisfactory model for people who work in the large hospital where she is employed. The researcher selects a random sample of 20 people who work in her hospital, and measures their maximum heart rates.
  1. Explain why the researcher selects a sample, rather than using all of the people who work in the hospital. The ages, \(x\) years, and maximum heart rates, \(y\) beats per minute, of the people in the researcher's sample are summarised as follows. \(n = 20 \quad \sum x = 922 \quad \sum y = 3638 \quad \sum x ^ { 2 } = 47250 \quad \sum y ^ { 2 } = 664610 \quad \sum x y = 164998\) These data are illustrated below. \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{5be067ff-4668-48d6-8ed2-b8dfa3e678f7-5_758_1246_1027_244}
    1. Draw the line which represents the formula 'maximum heart rate \(= 220 -\) age in years' on the copy of the scatter diagram in the Printed Answer Booklet.
    2. Comment on how well this model fits the data.
  2. Determine the equation of the regression line of maximum heart rate on age.
  3. Use the equation of the regression line to predict the values of the maximum heart rate for each of the following ages.
OCR MEI Further Statistics A AS Specimen Q6
12 marks Standard +0.3
6 A motorist decides to check the fuel consumption, \(y\) miles per gallon, of her car at particular speeds, \(x \mathrm { mph }\), on flat roads. She carries out the check on a suitable stretch of motorway. Fig. 6 shows her results. \begin{figure}[h]
\includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{880026ad-1cd3-40bb-bc87-8dcc94bd9bbd-4_707_1091_1320_477} \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Fig. 6}
\end{figure}
  1. Explain why it would not be appropriate to carry out a hypothesis test for correlation based on the product moment correlation coefficient.
  2. (A) One of the results is an outlier. Circle the outlier on the copy of Fig. 6 in the Printed Answer Booklet.
    (B) Suggest one possible reason for the outlier in part (ii) (A) not being used in any analysis. The motorist decides to remove this item of data from any analysis. The table below shows part of a spreadsheet that was used to analyse the 14 remaining data items (with the outlier removed). Some rows of the spreadsheet have been deliberately omitted.
    Data item\(x\)\(y\)\(x ^ { 2 }\)\(y ^ { 2 }\)\(x y\)
    15053.625002872.962680
    25053.325002840.892665
    137044.849002007.043136
    147044.249001953.643094
    Sum8406865115033779.740812
  3. Calculate the equation of the regression line of \(y\) on \(x\).
  4. Use the equation of the regression line to predict the fuel consumption of the car at
    (A) 58 mph ,
    (B) 30 mph .
  5. Comment on the reliability of your predictions in part (iv). }{www.ocr.org.uk}) after the live examination series. If OCR has unwittingly failed to correctly acknowledge or clear any third-party content in this assessment material, OCR will be happy to correct its mistake at the earliest possible opportunity.
    For queries or further information please contact the Copyright Team, First Floor, 9 Hills Road, Cambridge CB2 1GE.
    OCR is part of the }\section*{}
WJEC Further Unit 2 2019 June Q6
6 marks Moderate -0.3
6. The University of Arizona surveyed a large number of households. One purpose of the survey was to determine if annual household income could be predicted from size of family home. The graph of Annual household income, \(y\), versus Size of family home, \(x\), is shown below. \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{4ecf99c5-c4b3-41b7-a8df-a7c2ca7fcd6a-5_616_1257_566_365}
  1. State the limitations of using the regression line above with reference to the scatter diagram. The data for size of family homes between 2000 and 3000 square feet are shown in the diagram below. \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{4ecf99c5-c4b3-41b7-a8df-a7c2ca7fcd6a-5_652_1244_1516_360} Summary statistics for these data are as follows. $$\begin{array} { r c c } \sum x = 93160 & \sum y = 3907142 & n = 37 \\ S _ { x x } = 2869673.03 & S _ { y y } = 44312797167 & S _ { x y } = 348512820 \cdot 6 \end{array}$$
  2. Calculate the equation of the least squares regression line to predict Annual household income from Size of family home for these data.