CAIE S2 2013 November — Question 5 8 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2013
SessionNovember
Marks8
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Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicContinuous Probability Distributions and Random Variables
TypeFind parameter from probability condition
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a standard S2 probability density function question requiring routine integration techniques: finding k using the total probability condition, solving P(X≥d)=0.2 by integration and equation solving, and computing E(X). All three parts follow textbook procedures with straightforward polynomial integration, making it slightly easier than average.
Spec5.03a Continuous random variables: pdf and cdf5.03b Solve problems: using pdf5.03c Calculate mean/variance: by integration

5 The volume, in \(\mathrm { cm } ^ { 3 }\), of liquid left in a glass by people when they have finished drinking all they want is modelled by the random variable \(X\) with probability density function given by $$f ( x ) = \begin{cases} k ( x - 2 ) ^ { 2 } & 0 \leqslant x \leqslant 2 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$$ where \(k\) is a constant.
  1. Show that \(k = \frac { 3 } { 8 }\).
  2. \(20 \%\) of people leave at least \(d \mathrm {~cm} ^ { 3 }\) of liquid in a glass. Find \(d\).
  3. Find \(\mathrm { E } ( X )\).

(i)
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(\int k(x-2)^2 dx = 1\)M1 Attempt to integrate f(x) with correct limits and = 1
\(\left(\frac{k(x-2)^3}{3}\right)_0^2 = 1\)
\(k[0 - (-\frac{8}{3})] = 1\)A1 Must see this line or better, e.g. \(k \times \frac{8}{3} = 1\)
\(k = \frac{3}{8}\) AG[2]
(ii)
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(\frac{3}{8}\int_d^2 (x-2)^2 dx = 0.2\)M1 f(x)dx with limits d and 2 or 0 and d, and = 0.2 or 0.8; Condone missing 'k'
\(\left(\frac{3}{8} \frac{(x-2)^3}{3}\right)_d^2 = 0.2\) oe
\(\frac{3}{8}\left[0 - \frac{(d-2)^3}{3}\right] = 0.2\) oeM1 Reasonable attempt to integrate from a correct expression, with limits substituted to give expression in d'. Condone missing 'k'
\(((d-2)^3 = -1.6)\)
\(d = 0.83(0)\) (3 s.f.)A1 [3]
(iii)
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(\frac{3}{8}\int_0^2 x(x-2)^2 dx\)M1 Attempt integ xf(x); ignore limits, condone missing k
\(\left(= \frac{3}{8}\int_0 (x^3 - 4x^2 + 4x)dx\right)\) \(\left(\left\{\frac{3}{8}\left[x x \frac{(x-2)^3}{3} - \int \frac{(x-2)^3}{3} dx\right]_0^2\right)\right)\)
\(= \frac{3}{8}\left[\frac{x^4}{4} - \frac{4x^3}{3} + 2x^2\right]_0^2\) \(= \frac{3}{8}\left[x x \frac{(x-2)^3}{3} - \frac{(x-2)^3}{12}\right]_0^2\)
\(= \frac{1}{2}\)A1 Correct integration & limits, condone missing k
Total: [3]
**(i)** 
$\int k(x-2)^2 dx = 1$ | M1 | Attempt to integrate f(x) with correct limits and = 1
$\left(\frac{k(x-2)^3}{3}\right)_0^2 = 1$ | | 
$k[0 - (-\frac{8}{3})] = 1$ | A1 | Must see this line or better, e.g. $k \times \frac{8}{3} = 1$
$k = \frac{3}{8}$ AG | [2]

**(ii)** 
$\frac{3}{8}\int_d^2 (x-2)^2 dx = 0.2$ | M1 | f(x)dx with limits d and 2 or 0 and d, and = 0.2 or 0.8; Condone missing 'k'
$\left(\frac{3}{8} \frac{(x-2)^3}{3}\right)_d^2 = 0.2$ oe | | 
$\frac{3}{8}\left[0 - \frac{(d-2)^3}{3}\right] = 0.2$ oe | M1 | Reasonable attempt to integrate from a correct expression, with limits substituted to give expression in d'. Condone missing 'k'
$((d-2)^3 = -1.6)$ | | 
$d = 0.83(0)$ (3 s.f.) | A1 | [3]

**(iii)** 
$\frac{3}{8}\int_0^2 x(x-2)^2 dx$ | M1 | Attempt integ xf(x); ignore limits, condone missing k
$\left(= \frac{3}{8}\int_0 (x^3 - 4x^2 + 4x)dx\right)$ | | $\left(\left\{\frac{3}{8}\left[x x \frac{(x-2)^3}{3} - \int \frac{(x-2)^3}{3} dx\right]_0^2\right)\right)$
$= \frac{3}{8}\left[\frac{x^4}{4} - \frac{4x^3}{3} + 2x^2\right]_0^2$ | | $= \frac{3}{8}\left[x x \frac{(x-2)^3}{3} - \frac{(x-2)^3}{12}\right]_0^2$
$= \frac{1}{2}$ | A1 | Correct integration & limits, condone missing k

**Total: [3]**
5 The volume, in $\mathrm { cm } ^ { 3 }$, of liquid left in a glass by people when they have finished drinking all they want is modelled by the random variable $X$ with probability density function given by

$$f ( x ) = \begin{cases} k ( x - 2 ) ^ { 2 } & 0 \leqslant x \leqslant 2 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$$

where $k$ is a constant.\\
(i) Show that $k = \frac { 3 } { 8 }$.\\
(ii) $20 \%$ of people leave at least $d \mathrm {~cm} ^ { 3 }$ of liquid in a glass. Find $d$.\\
(iii) Find $\mathrm { E } ( X )$.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S2 2013 Q5 [8]}}
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