CAIE S2 2008 November — Question 1 4 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2008
SessionNovember
Marks4
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Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicCombinations & Selection
TypeCritique of sampling methods
DifficultyEasy -1.2 This is a straightforward conceptual question about sampling methods requiring students to recognize that sums of two dice don't produce uniform probabilities (e.g., 7 is most likely, 2 and 12 are least likely). No calculations needed, just basic understanding of probability distributions and random sampling. Easier than average A-level work.
Spec2.01c Sampling techniques: simple random, opportunity, etc

1 Alan wishes to choose one child at random from the eleven children in his music class. The children are numbered \(2,3,4\), and so on, up to 12 . Alan then throws two fair dice, each numbered from 1 to 6 , and chooses the child whose number is the sum of the scores on the two dice.
  1. Explain why this is an unsatisfactory method of choosing a child.
  2. Describe briefly a satisfactory method of choosing a child.

AnswerMarks Guidance
(i) Not all totals have the same probability e.g. P(7) = 6/36, P(4) = 3/36B1 [2] Or equivalent. Any example to correctly justify their statement above
(ii) Any valid method e.g. using pieces of paper, calculator, random number tablesB1 Valid idea
B1 [2]Method of choosing – full description
(i) Not all totals have the same probability e.g. P(7) = 6/36, P(4) = 3/36 | B1 [2] | Or equivalent. Any example to correctly justify their statement above

(ii) Any valid method e.g. using pieces of paper, calculator, random number tables | B1 | Valid idea
| B1 [2] | Method of choosing – full description

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1 Alan wishes to choose one child at random from the eleven children in his music class. The children are numbered $2,3,4$, and so on, up to 12 . Alan then throws two fair dice, each numbered from 1 to 6 , and chooses the child whose number is the sum of the scores on the two dice.\\
(i) Explain why this is an unsatisfactory method of choosing a child.\\
(ii) Describe briefly a satisfactory method of choosing a child.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S2 2008 Q1 [4]}}