CAIE S2 2006 November — Question 6

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2006
SessionNovember
TopicPoisson Distribution
TypePoisson hypothesis test

6 Pieces of metal discovered by people using metal detectors are found randomly in fields in a certain area at an average rate of 0.8 pieces per hectare. People using metal detectors in this area have a theory that ploughing the fields increases the average number of pieces of metal found per hectare. After ploughing, they tested this theory and found that a randomly chosen field of area 3 hectares yielded 5 pieces of metal.
  1. Carry out the test at the \(10 \%\) level of significance.
  2. What would your conclusion have been if you had tested at the \(5 \%\) level of significance? Jack decides that he will reject the null hypothesis that the average number is 0.8 pieces per hectare if he finds 4 or more pieces of metal in another ploughed field of area 3 hectares.
  3. If the true mean after ploughing is 1.4 pieces per hectare, calculate the probability that Jack makes a Type II error.