CAIE S2 2011 June — Question 2 5 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2011
SessionJune
Marks5
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicConfidence intervals
TypeCalculate CI for proportion
DifficultyModerate -0.8 This is a straightforward confidence interval calculation for a proportion using the normal approximation. It requires only direct application of the standard formula with z=1.645, plus recognition that the normal approximation introduces error. The question involves minimal steps, no problem-solving insight, and is a standard textbook exercise below typical A-level difficulty.
Spec2.05a Hypothesis testing language: null, alternative, p-value, significance5.05d Confidence intervals: using normal distribution

2 In a random sample of 70 bars of Luxcleanse soap, 18 were found to be undersized.
  1. Calculate an approximate \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of all bars of Luxcleanse soap that are undersized.
  2. Give a reason why your interval is only approximate.

Question 2:
Part (i):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
\(\frac{\frac{18}{70}\times(1-\frac{18}{70})}{70} (= 0.00272886\ldots)\)M1
\(z = 1.645\)B1 Seen
\(\frac{18}{70} \pm z \times \sqrt{0.00272886}\)M1
\(0.171\) to \(0.343\)A1[4]
Part (ii):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
Var (or sd) estimated, or \(N \sim B\) usedB1[1]
## Question 2:

### Part (i):

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $\frac{\frac{18}{70}\times(1-\frac{18}{70})}{70} (= 0.00272886\ldots)$ | M1 | |
| $z = 1.645$ | B1 | Seen |
| $\frac{18}{70} \pm z \times \sqrt{0.00272886}$ | M1 | |
| $0.171$ to $0.343$ | A1[4] | |

### Part (ii):

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Var (or sd) estimated, or $N \sim B$ used | B1[1] | |

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2 In a random sample of 70 bars of Luxcleanse soap, 18 were found to be undersized.\\
(i) Calculate an approximate $90 \%$ confidence interval for the proportion of all bars of Luxcleanse soap that are undersized.\\
(ii) Give a reason why your interval is only approximate.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S2 2011 Q2 [5]}}