CAIE S2 2023 November — Question 3

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2023
SessionNovember
TopicPoisson Distribution
TypeSingle period normal approximation

3 A website owner finds that, on average, his website receives 0.3 hits per minute. He believes that the number of hits per minute follows a Poisson distribution.
  1. Assume that the owner is correct.
    1. Find the probability that there will be at least 4 hits during a 10-minute period.
    2. Use a suitable approximating distribution to find the probability that there will be fewer than 40 hits during a 3-hour period.
      A friend agrees that the website receives, on average, 0.3 hits per minute. However, she notices that the number of hits during the day-time ( 9.00 am to 9.00 pm ) is usually about twice the number of hits during the night-time ( 9.00 pm to 9.00 am ).
    1. Explain why this fact contradicts the owner's belief that the number of hits per minute follows a Poisson distribution.
    2. Specify separate Poisson distributions that might be suitable models for the number of hits during the day-time and during the night-time.